Recent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate Shanghai will remain under a warm, moist airmass through May 20, with overnight lows likely holding near or above 20°C at Pudong International Airport. This pattern follows confirmed minima of 19–20°C on May 13–15 amid persistent high pressure and light southeast winds that limit radiative cooling. Climatological baselines place late-May overnight lows around 19–21°C, yet current conditions sit 1–3°C above the long-term average due to suppressed frontal activity. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability ahead of the resolution window, sustaining trader preference for the 20–22°C band while leaving limited room for a sharper drop below 18°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 20 maggio?
25°C o superiore 48%
15°C o inferiore 36%
22°C 28%
21°C 21%
15°C o inferiore
36%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
6%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
21%
22°C
28%
23°C
19%
24°C
18%
25°C o superiore
48%
25°C o superiore 48%
15°C o inferiore 36%
22°C 28%
21°C 21%
15°C o inferiore
36%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
6%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
21%
22°C
28%
23°C
19%
24°C
18%
25°C o superiore
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDRecent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate Shanghai will remain under a warm, moist airmass through May 20, with overnight lows likely holding near or above 20°C at Pudong International Airport. This pattern follows confirmed minima of 19–20°C on May 13–15 amid persistent high pressure and light southeast winds that limit radiative cooling. Climatological baselines place late-May overnight lows around 19–21°C, yet current conditions sit 1–3°C above the long-term average due to suppressed frontal activity. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability ahead of the resolution window, sustaining trader preference for the 20–22°C band while leaving limited room for a sharper drop below 18°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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