Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 18 around 19–21°C at Pudong International Airport, fueling the tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid 45–55% uncertainty. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover—prevalent in recent days—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Shanghai elevates minima above historical mid-May averages of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on cloudiness: clearer skies could enable cooling to 19°C, but rising humidity or breezes favor 21–22°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs tomorrow may refine this, as typical spring variability persists.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 18 maggio?
20°C 38%
18°C 31%
19°C 21%
22°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
15°C o inferiore
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
18%
19°C
21%
20°C
29%
21°C
22%
22°C
19%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C o superiore
1%
20°C 38%
18°C 31%
19°C 21%
22°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
15°C o inferiore
$90 Vol.
1%
16°C
$10 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$3 Vol.
18%
19°C
$2 Vol.
21%
20°C
$24 Vol.
29%
21°C
$34 Vol.
22%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$68 Vol.
3%
24°C
$40 Vol.
2%
25°C o superiore
$51 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 18 around 19–21°C at Pudong International Airport, fueling the tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid 45–55% uncertainty. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover—prevalent in recent days—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Shanghai elevates minima above historical mid-May averages of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on cloudiness: clearer skies could enable cooling to 19°C, but rising humidity or breezes favor 21–22°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs tomorrow may refine this, as typical spring variability persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$323Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 18 around 19–21°C at Pudong International Airport, fueling the tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid 45–55% uncertainty. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover—prevalent in recent days—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Shanghai elevates minima above historical mid-May averages of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on cloudiness: clearer skies could enable cooling to 19°C, but rising humidity or breezes favor 21–22°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs tomorrow may refine this, as typical spring variability persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$323Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 18 around 19–21°C at Pudong International Airport, fueling the tight trader consensus with 20°C leading at 28.5% implied probability amid 45–55% uncertainty. Mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover—prevalent in recent days—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in Shanghai elevates minima above historical mid-May averages of 18°C. Differentiation hinges on cloudiness: clearer skies could enable cooling to 19°C, but rising humidity or breezes favor 21–22°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs tomorrow may refine this, as typical spring variability persists.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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