Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 24°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport station on May 15, 2026, driven by hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration and Wunderground confirming a midday peak of 24°C amid persistent partial cloudiness from early-morning showers that capped solar insolation. Light northerly winds at 15-20 km/h enhanced sea breeze effects, moderating daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 25-26°C seen in GFS and ECMWF model baselines. With sunset now past and overnight cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon data revision or unforecasted clearing—both low-probability given finalized station readings and stable atmospheric conditions. Watch CMA's evening summary for official closeout.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$127,423 Vol.
$127,423 Vol.
15 mag 2026
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$127,423 Vol.
$127,423 Vol.
15 mag 2026
24°C
$25,290 Vol.
100%
25°C
$14,651 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$13,589 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$19,443 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9,217 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,982 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$3,580 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 24°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport station on May 15, 2026, driven by hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration and Wunderground confirming a midday peak of 24°C amid persistent partial cloudiness from early-morning showers that capped solar insolation. Light northerly winds at 15-20 km/h enhanced sea breeze effects, moderating daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 25-26°C seen in GFS and ECMWF model baselines. With sunset now past and overnight cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon data revision or unforecasted clearing—both low-probability given finalized station readings and stable atmospheric conditions. Watch CMA's evening summary for official closeout.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$127,423Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 24°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport station on May 15, 2026, driven by hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration and Wunderground confirming a midday peak of 24°C amid persistent partial cloudiness from early-morning showers that capped solar insolation. Light northerly winds at 15-20 km/h enhanced sea breeze effects, moderating daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 25-26°C seen in GFS and ECMWF model baselines. With sunset now past and overnight cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon data revision or unforecasted clearing—both low-probability given finalized station readings and stable atmospheric conditions. Watch CMA's evening summary for official closeout.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$127,423Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 24°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport station on May 15, 2026, driven by hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration and Wunderground confirming a midday peak of 24°C amid persistent partial cloudiness from early-morning showers that capped solar insolation. Light northerly winds at 15-20 km/h enhanced sea breeze effects, moderating daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 25-26°C seen in GFS and ECMWF model baselines. With sunset now past and overnight cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon data revision or unforecasted clearing—both low-probability given finalized station readings and stable atmospheric conditions. Watch CMA's evening summary for official closeout.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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