Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C peak temperature in Jakarta on May 15, driven by ensemble forecast models from NOAA and BMKG station data at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, where recent observations on May 13-14 registered near 33°C under partly sunny skies. Early dry season conditions in 2026 have reduced widespread cloudiness, enabling high solar insolation and urban heat island amplification typical of equatorial Jakarta's tropical climate, with historical May averages clustering at 32-34°C. Light rain and high humidity (74-97%) pose risks of capping at 32°C via afternoon convection, while isolated clear periods could push to 34°C; monitor BMKG hourly updates for shifts in thunderstorm timing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 15?
33°C 76%
34°C 13%
32°C 12%
31°C 2.9%
$24,816 Vol.
$24,816 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
76%
34°C
13%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 76%
34°C 13%
32°C 12%
31°C 2.9%
$24,816 Vol.
$24,816 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
76%
34°C
13%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 33°C peak temperature in Jakarta on May 15, driven by ensemble forecast models from NOAA and BMKG station data at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, where recent observations on May 13-14 registered near 33°C under partly sunny skies. Early dry season conditions in 2026 have reduced widespread cloudiness, enabling high solar insolation and urban heat island amplification typical of equatorial Jakarta's tropical climate, with historical May averages clustering at 32-34°C. Light rain and high humidity (74-97%) pose risks of capping at 32°C via afternoon convection, while isolated clear periods could push to 34°C; monitor BMKG hourly updates for shifts in thunderstorm timing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti