Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, as reflected in ARPA Lombardia's May 13 bulletin, position Milan's May 14 high temperature near 18°C with 45% market-implied probability, driven by a low-pressure system ushering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms across Lombardy. Current morning observations around 12–14°C at Milan stations underscore limited diurnal warming potential amid high humidity and instability following recent severe weather events, including over 10,000 lightning strikes on May 11. Trader sentiment favors 17–19°C outcomes (combined ~89%) over warmer scenarios, reflecting model consensus on suppressed highs below May climatological averages of 22°C; uncertainty persists in precipitation timing and afternoon clearing, with final resolution from official airport station data by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 14?
18°C 43%
19°C 38.0%
17°C 23%
20°C or higher 10.8%
$45,693 Vol.
$45,693 Vol.
14 mag 2026
12°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
23%
18°C
43%
19°C
38%
20°C or higher
11%
18°C 43%
19°C 38.0%
17°C 23%
20°C or higher 10.8%
$45,693 Vol.
$45,693 Vol.
14 mag 2026
12°C
$1,350 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,866 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$7,248 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,314 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,981 Vol.
23%
18°C
$4,242 Vol.
43%
19°C
$5,195 Vol.
38%
20°C or higher
$7,906 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, as reflected in ARPA Lombardia's May 13 bulletin, position Milan's May 14 high temperature near 18°C with 45% market-implied probability, driven by a low-pressure system ushering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms across Lombardy. Current morning observations around 12–14°C at Milan stations underscore limited diurnal warming potential amid high humidity and instability following recent severe weather events, including over 10,000 lightning strikes on May 11. Trader sentiment favors 17–19°C outcomes (combined ~89%) over warmer scenarios, reflecting model consensus on suppressed highs below May climatological averages of 22°C; uncertainty persists in precipitation timing and afternoon clearing, with final resolution from official airport station data by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$45,693Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, as reflected in ARPA Lombardia's May 13 bulletin, position Milan's May 14 high temperature near 18°C with 45% market-implied probability, driven by a low-pressure system ushering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms across Lombardy. Current morning observations around 12–14°C at Milan stations underscore limited diurnal warming potential amid high humidity and instability following recent severe weather events, including over 10,000 lightning strikes on May 11. Trader sentiment favors 17–19°C outcomes (combined ~89%) over warmer scenarios, reflecting model consensus on suppressed highs below May climatological averages of 22°C; uncertainty persists in precipitation timing and afternoon clearing, with final resolution from official airport station data by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,693Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, as reflected in ARPA Lombardia's May 13 bulletin, position Milan's May 14 high temperature near 18°C with 45% market-implied probability, driven by a low-pressure system ushering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms across Lombardy. Current morning observations around 12–14°C at Milan stations underscore limited diurnal warming potential amid high humidity and instability following recent severe weather events, including over 10,000 lightning strikes on May 11. Trader sentiment favors 17–19°C outcomes (combined ~89%) over warmer scenarios, reflecting model consensus on suppressed highs below May climatological averages of 22°C; uncertainty persists in precipitation timing and afternoon clearing, with final resolution from official airport station data by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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