Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on May 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$178,825 Vol.
$178,825 Vol.
14 mag 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$178,825 Vol.
$178,825 Vol.
14 mag 2026
57°F or below
$13,220 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$9,008 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$23,251 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$16,726 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$17,716 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$18,376 Vol.
Yes
68-69°F
$23,494 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$23,432 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$14,220 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$5,476 Vol.
No
76°F or higher
$13,908 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$178,825Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$178,825Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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