Latest forecast models from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum temperature near 14°C in Amsterdam on May 17, driven by persistent northwest winds and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C. Ensemble runs show limited afternoon clearing, keeping the peak suppressed, while morning observations near 8–10°C align with this trajectory. Minor model disagreements around exact sunshine duration support the secondary probabilities for 13°C and 15°C, with traders weighting real-time data releases from Schiphol Airport and updated afternoon guidance as key resolution factors. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups confirm that such conditions rarely allow spikes above 15°C without stronger southerly flow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 17 maggio?
14°C 51%
15°C 22%
13°C 21%
16°C 3.8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
21%
14°C
51%
15°C
22%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 51%
15°C 22%
13°C 21%
16°C 3.8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
$1,548 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$648 Vol.
1%
12°C
$473 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,185 Vol.
21%
14°C
$834 Vol.
51%
15°C
$546 Vol.
22%
16°C
$568 Vol.
4%
17°C
$749 Vol.
1%
18°C
$384 Vol.
1%
19°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$204 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum temperature near 14°C in Amsterdam on May 17, driven by persistent northwest winds and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C. Ensemble runs show limited afternoon clearing, keeping the peak suppressed, while morning observations near 8–10°C align with this trajectory. Minor model disagreements around exact sunshine duration support the secondary probabilities for 13°C and 15°C, with traders weighting real-time data releases from Schiphol Airport and updated afternoon guidance as key resolution factors. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups confirm that such conditions rarely allow spikes above 15°C without stronger southerly flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$7,488Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum temperature near 14°C in Amsterdam on May 17, driven by persistent northwest winds and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C. Ensemble runs show limited afternoon clearing, keeping the peak suppressed, while morning observations near 8–10°C align with this trajectory. Minor model disagreements around exact sunshine duration support the secondary probabilities for 13°C and 15°C, with traders weighting real-time data releases from Schiphol Airport and updated afternoon guidance as key resolution factors. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups confirm that such conditions rarely allow spikes above 15°C without stronger southerly flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,488Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMLatest forecast models from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum temperature near 14°C in Amsterdam on May 17, driven by persistent northwest winds and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C. Ensemble runs show limited afternoon clearing, keeping the peak suppressed, while morning observations near 8–10°C align with this trajectory. Minor model disagreements around exact sunshine duration support the secondary probabilities for 13°C and 15°C, with traders weighting real-time data releases from Schiphol Airport and updated afternoon guidance as key resolution factors. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups confirm that such conditions rarely allow spikes above 15°C without stronger southerly flow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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