Current ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF place Panama City's May 18 maximum between 31°C and 33°C, producing the market's near-even split across those three outcomes. A subtropical ridge is enhancing solar insolation at the seasonal peak while limiting cloud cover early in the day, favoring the higher end of the range. Moderate trade winds and rising boundary-layer moisture, however, could trigger afternoon convection that caps the peak near 31–32°C. May climatology shows average highs of 31–32°C with occasional 33°C+ readings under comparable dry-air intrusions, highlighting how small shifts in humidity or timing of any showers will determine the final verified temperature.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Panama City il 18 maggio?
32°C 31%
31°C 28%
33°C or higher 21%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
28%
32°C
30%
33°C or higher
21%
32°C 31%
31°C 28%
33°C or higher 21%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
23°C or below
$523 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$91 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$86 Vol.
2%
29°C
$89 Vol.
2%
30°C
$126 Vol.
10%
31°C
$14 Vol.
28%
32°C
$93 Vol.
30%
33°C or higher
$138 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF place Panama City's May 18 maximum between 31°C and 33°C, producing the market's near-even split across those three outcomes. A subtropical ridge is enhancing solar insolation at the seasonal peak while limiting cloud cover early in the day, favoring the higher end of the range. Moderate trade winds and rising boundary-layer moisture, however, could trigger afternoon convection that caps the peak near 31–32°C. May climatology shows average highs of 31–32°C with occasional 33°C+ readings under comparable dry-air intrusions, highlighting how small shifts in humidity or timing of any showers will determine the final verified temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$1,915Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF place Panama City's May 18 maximum between 31°C and 33°C, producing the market's near-even split across those three outcomes. A subtropical ridge is enhancing solar insolation at the seasonal peak while limiting cloud cover early in the day, favoring the higher end of the range. Moderate trade winds and rising boundary-layer moisture, however, could trigger afternoon convection that caps the peak near 31–32°C. May climatology shows average highs of 31–32°C with occasional 33°C+ readings under comparable dry-air intrusions, highlighting how small shifts in humidity or timing of any showers will determine the final verified temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,915Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGCurrent ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF place Panama City's May 18 maximum between 31°C and 33°C, producing the market's near-even split across those three outcomes. A subtropical ridge is enhancing solar insolation at the seasonal peak while limiting cloud cover early in the day, favoring the higher end of the range. Moderate trade winds and rising boundary-layer moisture, however, could trigger afternoon convection that caps the peak near 31–32°C. May climatology shows average highs of 31–32°C with occasional 33°C+ readings under comparable dry-air intrusions, highlighting how small shifts in humidity or timing of any showers will determine the final verified temperature.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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