The market's decisive consensus at 15°C reflects the latest Met Office forecast models and surface observations confirming a daytime maximum of exactly that value for London today. A stable northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover are limiting solar heating, keeping temperatures from rising above the current afternoon readings in the low teens Celsius. This setup deviates from the city's mid-May climatological average near 17°C but matches the short-range model consensus showing minimal warming potential. Ensemble predictions assign very low probability to any upward revision, though unexpected clearing skies or a shift in wind direction could allow marginal increases before final official station data resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 16 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 16 maggio?
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$179,351 Vol.
$179,351 Vol.
16 mag 2026
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$179,351 Vol.
$179,351 Vol.
16 mag 2026
15°C
$24,295 Vol.
100%
16°C
$29,978 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$14,544 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$10,034 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,714 Vol.
<1%
20°C o superiore
$6,105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive consensus at 15°C reflects the latest Met Office forecast models and surface observations confirming a daytime maximum of exactly that value for London today. A stable northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover are limiting solar heating, keeping temperatures from rising above the current afternoon readings in the low teens Celsius. This setup deviates from the city's mid-May climatological average near 17°C but matches the short-range model consensus showing minimal warming potential. Ensemble predictions assign very low probability to any upward revision, though unexpected clearing skies or a shift in wind direction could allow marginal increases before final official station data resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$179,351Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive consensus at 15°C reflects the latest Met Office forecast models and surface observations confirming a daytime maximum of exactly that value for London today. A stable northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover are limiting solar heating, keeping temperatures from rising above the current afternoon readings in the low teens Celsius. This setup deviates from the city's mid-May climatological average near 17°C but matches the short-range model consensus showing minimal warming potential. Ensemble predictions assign very low probability to any upward revision, though unexpected clearing skies or a shift in wind direction could allow marginal increases before final official station data resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$179,351Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's decisive consensus at 15°C reflects the latest Met Office forecast models and surface observations confirming a daytime maximum of exactly that value for London today. A stable northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover are limiting solar heating, keeping temperatures from rising above the current afternoon readings in the low teens Celsius. This setup deviates from the city's mid-May climatological average near 17°C but matches the short-range model consensus showing minimal warming potential. Ensemble predictions assign very low probability to any upward revision, though unexpected clearing skies or a shift in wind direction could allow marginal increases before final official station data resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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