Current Met Office guidance indicates a daytime maximum of 17 °C for London on May 17, with an approaching Atlantic front expected to increase cloud cover and trigger scattered light showers that limit afternoon solar heating. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow, the likely resolution site, centers on 16–17 °C highs, so trader consensus clusters tightly around 15 °C and 16 °C because small variations in cloud thickness or frontal timing could trim peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, creating genuine uncertainty within the narrow historical range. Updated 06Z and 12Z guidance on Saturday will refine insolation forecasts and likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 17 maggio?
15°C 33%
16°C 33%
17°C 16%
14°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
13%
15°C
33%
16°C
33%
17°C
16%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 33%
16°C 33%
17°C 16%
14°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
10°C or below
$608 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$613 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$452 Vol.
2%
14°C
$598 Vol.
13%
15°C
$516 Vol.
33%
16°C
$445 Vol.
33%
17°C
$697 Vol.
16%
18°C
$617 Vol.
7%
19°C
$729 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$502 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Met Office guidance indicates a daytime maximum of 17 °C for London on May 17, with an approaching Atlantic front expected to increase cloud cover and trigger scattered light showers that limit afternoon solar heating. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow, the likely resolution site, centers on 16–17 °C highs, so trader consensus clusters tightly around 15 °C and 16 °C because small variations in cloud thickness or frontal timing could trim peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, creating genuine uncertainty within the narrow historical range. Updated 06Z and 12Z guidance on Saturday will refine insolation forecasts and likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,218Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Met Office guidance indicates a daytime maximum of 17 °C for London on May 17, with an approaching Atlantic front expected to increase cloud cover and trigger scattered light showers that limit afternoon solar heating. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow, the likely resolution site, centers on 16–17 °C highs, so trader consensus clusters tightly around 15 °C and 16 °C because small variations in cloud thickness or frontal timing could trim peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, creating genuine uncertainty within the narrow historical range. Updated 06Z and 12Z guidance on Saturday will refine insolation forecasts and likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,218Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCCurrent Met Office guidance indicates a daytime maximum of 17 °C for London on May 17, with an approaching Atlantic front expected to increase cloud cover and trigger scattered light showers that limit afternoon solar heating. Mid-May climatology at Heathrow, the likely resolution site, centers on 16–17 °C highs, so trader consensus clusters tightly around 15 °C and 16 °C because small variations in cloud thickness or frontal timing could trim peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, creating genuine uncertainty within the narrow historical range. Updated 06Z and 12Z guidance on Saturday will refine insolation forecasts and likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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