Official meteorological observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 17°C in Ankara on May 15, 2026, with temperatures peaking midday under partly cloudy skies and light winds before falling overnight. This measured high aligns with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which had forecasted a modest spring day influenced by a high-pressure system suppressing warmer air masses from the south. The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on 17°C reflects this verified data release, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis uncovers station-specific anomalies or sensor recalibration. Any shift would require documented discrepancies exceeding standard observational tolerances, a rare occurrence for established national networks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$56,757 Vol.
$56,757 Vol.
15 mag 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$56,757 Vol.
$56,757 Vol.
15 mag 2026
11°C or below
$877 Vol.
No
12°C
$3,526 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,438 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,852 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,338 Vol.
No
16°C
$8,467 Vol.
No
17°C
$8,340 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$6,576 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,327 Vol.
No
20°C
$8,301 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$6,715 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 17°C in Ankara on May 15, 2026, with temperatures peaking midday under partly cloudy skies and light winds before falling overnight. This measured high aligns with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which had forecasted a modest spring day influenced by a high-pressure system suppressing warmer air masses from the south. The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on 17°C reflects this verified data release, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis uncovers station-specific anomalies or sensor recalibration. Any shift would require documented discrepancies exceeding standard observational tolerances, a rare occurrence for established national networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$56,757Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 17°C in Ankara on May 15, 2026, with temperatures peaking midday under partly cloudy skies and light winds before falling overnight. This measured high aligns with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which had forecasted a modest spring day influenced by a high-pressure system suppressing warmer air masses from the south. The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on 17°C reflects this verified data release, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis uncovers station-specific anomalies or sensor recalibration. Any shift would require documented discrepancies exceeding standard observational tolerances, a rare occurrence for established national networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$56,757Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official meteorological observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 17°C in Ankara on May 15, 2026, with temperatures peaking midday under partly cloudy skies and light winds before falling overnight. This measured high aligns with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which had forecasted a modest spring day influenced by a high-pressure system suppressing warmer air masses from the south. The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on 17°C reflects this verified data release, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-analysis uncovers station-specific anomalies or sensor recalibration. Any shift would require documented discrepancies exceeding standard observational tolerances, a rare occurrence for established national networks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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