Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 20–22°C highs for São Paulo on May 15, with 20°C or below leading at 34.5%, driven by INMET's latest forecast projecting a 20°C maximum amid many clouds, isolated rain, and thunderstorms from an incoming polar air mass. This cool surge, the first intense one of 2026, has already lowered recent daily highs into the low 20s, capping daytime heating via southerly winds, high humidity, and convective suppression—contrasting May's typical 23°C average. Close odds reflect model ensemble spreads (GFS/ECMWF analogs) and potential brief cloud breaks allowing 1–2°C spikes; key differentiators include precipitation timing and official station measurements at sites like Congonhas Airport. Final INMET updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 15 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 15 maggio?
20°C o inferiore 35%
21°C 29%
22°C 27%
23°C 11%
NUOVO
$14,454 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,454 Vol.
15 mag 2026
20°C o inferiore
35%
21°C
29%
22°C
27%
23°C
11%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
20°C o inferiore 35%
21°C 29%
22°C 27%
23°C 11%
NUOVO
$14,454 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,454 Vol.
15 mag 2026
20°C o inferiore
$2,411 Vol.
35%
21°C
$1,271 Vol.
29%
22°C
$2,262 Vol.
27%
23°C
$861 Vol.
11%
24°C
$879 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,881 Vol.
2%
26°C
$631 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,066 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,359 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$589 Vol.
<1%
30°C o superiore
$1,250 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 20–22°C highs for São Paulo on May 15, with 20°C or below leading at 34.5%, driven by INMET's latest forecast projecting a 20°C maximum amid many clouds, isolated rain, and thunderstorms from an incoming polar air mass. This cool surge, the first intense one of 2026, has already lowered recent daily highs into the low 20s, capping daytime heating via southerly winds, high humidity, and convective suppression—contrasting May's typical 23°C average. Close odds reflect model ensemble spreads (GFS/ECMWF analogs) and potential brief cloud breaks allowing 1–2°C spikes; key differentiators include precipitation timing and official station measurements at sites like Congonhas Airport. Final INMET updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$14,454Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 20–22°C highs for São Paulo on May 15, with 20°C or below leading at 34.5%, driven by INMET's latest forecast projecting a 20°C maximum amid many clouds, isolated rain, and thunderstorms from an incoming polar air mass. This cool surge, the first intense one of 2026, has already lowered recent daily highs into the low 20s, capping daytime heating via southerly winds, high humidity, and convective suppression—contrasting May's typical 23°C average. Close odds reflect model ensemble spreads (GFS/ECMWF analogs) and potential brief cloud breaks allowing 1–2°C spikes; key differentiators include precipitation timing and official station measurements at sites like Congonhas Airport. Final INMET updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,454Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 20–22°C highs for São Paulo on May 15, with 20°C or below leading at 34.5%, driven by INMET's latest forecast projecting a 20°C maximum amid many clouds, isolated rain, and thunderstorms from an incoming polar air mass. This cool surge, the first intense one of 2026, has already lowered recent daily highs into the low 20s, capping daytime heating via southerly winds, high humidity, and convective suppression—contrasting May's typical 23°C average. Close odds reflect model ensemble spreads (GFS/ECMWF analogs) and potential brief cloud breaks allowing 1–2°C spikes; key differentiators include precipitation timing and official station measurements at sites like Congonhas Airport. Final INMET updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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