MetService's latest forecast pegs Wellington's May 16 high at 12°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent southeasterlies from a high-pressure ridge over the South Island, channeling cool Tasman Sea air and capping temperatures below seasonal norms of 13-14°C. Trader consensus mirrors this at roughly even odds for 11-14°C, reflecting model ensemble spread where thicker cloud decks could shave 1-2°C off the peak, while brief sun breaks enable marginal warming. Recent observations show yesterday's 16.6°C high at Kelburn giving way to today's cooler 13°C amid strengthening southerlies. New forecast updates Thursday and Friday from MetService and global models will refine exact maxima before resolution at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 42%
12°C 31%
14°C 23%
11°C 6%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
31%
13°C
42%
14°C
23%
15°C
6%
16°C or higher
1%
13°C 42%
12°C 31%
14°C 23%
11°C 6%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
31%
13°C
42%
14°C
23%
15°C
6%
16°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast pegs Wellington's May 16 high at 12°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent southeasterlies from a high-pressure ridge over the South Island, channeling cool Tasman Sea air and capping temperatures below seasonal norms of 13-14°C. Trader consensus mirrors this at roughly even odds for 11-14°C, reflecting model ensemble spread where thicker cloud decks could shave 1-2°C off the peak, while brief sun breaks enable marginal warming. Recent observations show yesterday's 16.6°C high at Kelburn giving way to today's cooler 13°C amid strengthening southerlies. New forecast updates Thursday and Friday from MetService and global models will refine exact maxima before resolution at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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