China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast projects Beijing's May 14 high at 32°C under clear skies, anchoring trader consensus at 58% implied probability for 33°C or below amid North China's first 2026 heatwave. A persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence—downward air motion that inhibits cloud formation—coupled with low humidity and strong radiative heating, sustaining recent highs of 31–33°C, 4–6°C above the 27°C mid-May climatological norm. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show modest upside risk to 34–35°C if southerly winds slacken further, explaining trailing probabilities. Hourly observational data from CMA stations will refine estimates through resolution tomorrow, highlighting short-term forecast uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 14?
33°C or below 57%
34°C 26%
35°C 13%
36°C 2.2%
NUOVO
$33,939 Vol.
NUOVO
$33,939 Vol.
14 mag 2026
33°C or below
57%
34°C
26%
35°C
13%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 57%
34°C 26%
35°C 13%
36°C 2.2%
NUOVO
$33,939 Vol.
NUOVO
$33,939 Vol.
14 mag 2026
33°C or below
$5,771 Vol.
57%
34°C
$2,236 Vol.
26%
35°C
$2,046 Vol.
13%
36°C
$3,022 Vol.
2%
37°C
$3,784 Vol.
1%
38°C
$4,280 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$3,726 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$2,817 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$1,772 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$2,921 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$1,592 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast projects Beijing's May 14 high at 32°C under clear skies, anchoring trader consensus at 58% implied probability for 33°C or below amid North China's first 2026 heatwave. A persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence—downward air motion that inhibits cloud formation—coupled with low humidity and strong radiative heating, sustaining recent highs of 31–33°C, 4–6°C above the 27°C mid-May climatological norm. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show modest upside risk to 34–35°C if southerly winds slacken further, explaining trailing probabilities. Hourly observational data from CMA stations will refine estimates through resolution tomorrow, highlighting short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volume
$33,939Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast projects Beijing's May 14 high at 32°C under clear skies, anchoring trader consensus at 58% implied probability for 33°C or below amid North China's first 2026 heatwave. A persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence—downward air motion that inhibits cloud formation—coupled with low humidity and strong radiative heating, sustaining recent highs of 31–33°C, 4–6°C above the 27°C mid-May climatological norm. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show modest upside risk to 34–35°C if southerly winds slacken further, explaining trailing probabilities. Hourly observational data from CMA stations will refine estimates through resolution tomorrow, highlighting short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,939Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast projects Beijing's May 14 high at 32°C under clear skies, anchoring trader consensus at 58% implied probability for 33°C or below amid North China's first 2026 heatwave. A persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence—downward air motion that inhibits cloud formation—coupled with low humidity and strong radiative heating, sustaining recent highs of 31–33°C, 4–6°C above the 27°C mid-May climatological norm. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show modest upside risk to 34–35°C if southerly winds slacken further, explaining trailing probabilities. Hourly observational data from CMA stations will refine estimates through resolution tomorrow, highlighting short-term forecast uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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