Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts indicate hot and dry conditions persisting over Karachi through May 18, with daytime maximums around 38°C on May 15 amid an emerging heatwave, driving the 35.5% implied probability for 36°C or higher. However, trader sentiment remains closely split—30% at 35°C and 25% at 34°C—due to inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from variable sea breezes off the warm Arabian Sea, potential afternoon cloud development, and station-specific measurements at official PMD sites like the airport observatory. May climatology averages 34°C highs with occasional spikes from subsidence under high pressure; recent days logged 35-37°C peaks. New hourly observations and evening forecast updates could refine model consensus before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 15?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 15?
35°C 36%
36°C or higher 35%
34°C 26%
33°C 3.6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 mag 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
26%
35°C
36%
36°C or higher
35%
35°C 36%
36°C or higher 35%
34°C 26%
33°C 3.6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 mag 2026
26°C or below
$1,013 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$923 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$875 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,090 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$583 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$947 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,175 Vol.
4%
34°C
$950 Vol.
26%
35°C
$833 Vol.
36%
36°C or higher
$575 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts indicate hot and dry conditions persisting over Karachi through May 18, with daytime maximums around 38°C on May 15 amid an emerging heatwave, driving the 35.5% implied probability for 36°C or higher. However, trader sentiment remains closely split—30% at 35°C and 25% at 34°C—due to inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from variable sea breezes off the warm Arabian Sea, potential afternoon cloud development, and station-specific measurements at official PMD sites like the airport observatory. May climatology averages 34°C highs with occasional spikes from subsidence under high pressure; recent days logged 35-37°C peaks. New hourly observations and evening forecast updates could refine model consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$9,820Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts indicate hot and dry conditions persisting over Karachi through May 18, with daytime maximums around 38°C on May 15 amid an emerging heatwave, driving the 35.5% implied probability for 36°C or higher. However, trader sentiment remains closely split—30% at 35°C and 25% at 34°C—due to inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from variable sea breezes off the warm Arabian Sea, potential afternoon cloud development, and station-specific measurements at official PMD sites like the airport observatory. May climatology averages 34°C highs with occasional spikes from subsidence under high pressure; recent days logged 35-37°C peaks. New hourly observations and evening forecast updates could refine model consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,820Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts indicate hot and dry conditions persisting over Karachi through May 18, with daytime maximums around 38°C on May 15 amid an emerging heatwave, driving the 35.5% implied probability for 36°C or higher. However, trader sentiment remains closely split—30% at 35°C and 25% at 34°C—due to inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from variable sea breezes off the warm Arabian Sea, potential afternoon cloud development, and station-specific measurements at official PMD sites like the airport observatory. May climatology averages 34°C highs with occasional spikes from subsidence under high pressure; recent days logged 35-37°C peaks. New hourly observations and evening forecast updates could refine model consensus before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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