Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast indicates a daily temperature range of 23–26°C on May 17 under east-to-southeast winds and cloudy skies with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, implying a minimum near 23°C amid high relative humidity (80–95%) that curbs radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this guidance with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 24–25°C (26%), but spreads to 20–27°C due to medium-range forecast uncertainty—clouds could trap heat for higher mins, while brief clearing might allow dips to 23°C or below. Southeasterly steering from a lingering trough adds variability, consistent with May climatology where urban heat island and sea breezes yield average lows near 24°C. Watch for HKO's next update in 12 hours for refined model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 17 maggio?
24°C 31%
25°C 30%
23°C 30%
26°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
18°C o inferiore
12%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C
16%
22°C
18%
23°C
30%
24°C
31%
25°C
30%
26°C
19%
27°C
18%
28°C o superiore
26%
24°C 31%
25°C 30%
23°C 30%
26°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
18°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
12%
19°C
$0 Vol.
16%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$0 Vol.
16%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
30%
24°C
$0 Vol.
31%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C o superiore
$68 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast indicates a daily temperature range of 23–26°C on May 17 under east-to-southeast winds and cloudy skies with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, implying a minimum near 23°C amid high relative humidity (80–95%) that curbs radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this guidance with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 24–25°C (26%), but spreads to 20–27°C due to medium-range forecast uncertainty—clouds could trap heat for higher mins, while brief clearing might allow dips to 23°C or below. Southeasterly steering from a lingering trough adds variability, consistent with May climatology where urban heat island and sea breezes yield average lows near 24°C. Watch for HKO's next update in 12 hours for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$68Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast indicates a daily temperature range of 23–26°C on May 17 under east-to-southeast winds and cloudy skies with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, implying a minimum near 23°C amid high relative humidity (80–95%) that curbs radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this guidance with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 24–25°C (26%), but spreads to 20–27°C due to medium-range forecast uncertainty—clouds could trap heat for higher mins, while brief clearing might allow dips to 23°C or below. Southeasterly steering from a lingering trough adds variability, consistent with May climatology where urban heat island and sea breezes yield average lows near 24°C. Watch for HKO's next update in 12 hours for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$68Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETHong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast indicates a daily temperature range of 23–26°C on May 17 under east-to-southeast winds and cloudy skies with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, implying a minimum near 23°C amid high relative humidity (80–95%) that curbs radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this guidance with tightly clustered implied probabilities around 24–25°C (26%), but spreads to 20–27°C due to medium-range forecast uncertainty—clouds could trap heat for higher mins, while brief clearing might allow dips to 23°C or below. Southeasterly steering from a lingering trough adds variability, consistent with May climatology where urban heat island and sea breezes yield average lows near 24°C. Watch for HKO's next update in 12 hours for refined model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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