Current forecast models from major ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs reaching 32–34°C in Panama City today, aligning with May climatology for the tropical lowland setting where average daily maxima hover near 34°C amid strong solar insolation and light winds. The Intertropical Convergence Zone typically brings scattered showers and high humidity near 80%, yet these often allow sufficient clearing for peak heating during midday. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, with METAR observations from the local airport expected to confirm the outcome. Persistent cloud cover or heavier rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on current steering patterns and subsidence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,031 Vol.
$20,031 Vol.
15 mag 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,031 Vol.
$20,031 Vol.
15 mag 2026
22°C or below
$1,019 Vol.
No
23°C
$665 Vol.
No
24°C
$972 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,090 Vol.
No
26°C
$698 Vol.
No
27°C
$847 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,978 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,119 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,108 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,918 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$3,618 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from major ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs reaching 32–34°C in Panama City today, aligning with May climatology for the tropical lowland setting where average daily maxima hover near 34°C amid strong solar insolation and light winds. The Intertropical Convergence Zone typically brings scattered showers and high humidity near 80%, yet these often allow sufficient clearing for peak heating during midday. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, with METAR observations from the local airport expected to confirm the outcome. Persistent cloud cover or heavier rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on current steering patterns and subsidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Volume
$20,031Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from major ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs reaching 32–34°C in Panama City today, aligning with May climatology for the tropical lowland setting where average daily maxima hover near 34°C amid strong solar insolation and light winds. The Intertropical Convergence Zone typically brings scattered showers and high humidity near 80%, yet these often allow sufficient clearing for peak heating during midday. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, with METAR observations from the local airport expected to confirm the outcome. Persistent cloud cover or heavier rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on current steering patterns and subsidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,031Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecast models from major ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs reaching 32–34°C in Panama City today, aligning with May climatology for the tropical lowland setting where average daily maxima hover near 34°C amid strong solar insolation and light winds. The Intertropical Convergence Zone typically brings scattered showers and high humidity near 80%, yet these often allow sufficient clearing for peak heating during midday. Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects this robust model agreement and historical precedent, with METAR observations from the local airport expected to confirm the outcome. Persistent cloud cover or heavier rainfall could cap temperatures below the threshold, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on current steering patterns and subsidence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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