National Weather Service forecasts for Denver International Airport indicate a sharp cooldown on May 18 driven by an advancing cold front that will drop daytime highs into the upper 40s to low 50s, well below the mid-May climatological normal near 72°F. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows persistent northerly flow and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating, with overnight lows near 40°F further suppressing the daily maximum. This positions the 61°F-or-below outcome at 99.1% implied probability, reflecting trader recognition of the strong atmospheric setup. The only realistic challenge would be a slower frontal passage allowing brief afternoon warming above 61°F, though current guidance assigns low odds to that scenario before official resolution via Buckley Space Force Base observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Denver il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Denver il 18 maggio?
61°F or below 99.3%
62-63°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
61°F or below
99%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
61°F or below 99.3%
62-63°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
61°F or below
$1,030 Vol.
99%
62-63°F
$1,085 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$1,088 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,081 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$953 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$716 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$716 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$716 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$716 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$726 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$728 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver International Airport indicate a sharp cooldown on May 18 driven by an advancing cold front that will drop daytime highs into the upper 40s to low 50s, well below the mid-May climatological normal near 72°F. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows persistent northerly flow and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating, with overnight lows near 40°F further suppressing the daily maximum. This positions the 61°F-or-below outcome at 99.1% implied probability, reflecting trader recognition of the strong atmospheric setup. The only realistic challenge would be a slower frontal passage allowing brief afternoon warming above 61°F, though current guidance assigns low odds to that scenario before official resolution via Buckley Space Force Base observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$9,554Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver International Airport indicate a sharp cooldown on May 18 driven by an advancing cold front that will drop daytime highs into the upper 40s to low 50s, well below the mid-May climatological normal near 72°F. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows persistent northerly flow and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating, with overnight lows near 40°F further suppressing the daily maximum. This positions the 61°F-or-below outcome at 99.1% implied probability, reflecting trader recognition of the strong atmospheric setup. The only realistic challenge would be a slower frontal passage allowing brief afternoon warming above 61°F, though current guidance assigns low odds to that scenario before official resolution via Buckley Space Force Base observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,554Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFNational Weather Service forecasts for Denver International Airport indicate a sharp cooldown on May 18 driven by an advancing cold front that will drop daytime highs into the upper 40s to low 50s, well below the mid-May climatological normal near 72°F. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows persistent northerly flow and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating, with overnight lows near 40°F further suppressing the daily maximum. This positions the 61°F-or-below outcome at 99.1% implied probability, reflecting trader recognition of the strong atmospheric setup. The only realistic challenge would be a slower frontal passage allowing brief afternoon warming above 61°F, though current guidance assigns low odds to that scenario before official resolution via Buckley Space Force Base observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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