Current short-range forecast models project a daytime high in the mid-20s Celsius for Wuhan on May 18, shaped by expected thunderstorm activity and cloud cover that will limit peak solar heating. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology across the Jianghan Plain, where daily maxima typically fall between 24 °C and 28 °C as the East Asian summer monsoon begins its northward advance and regional humidity rises above 80 percent. Slight differences in model runs—primarily the exact timing of precipitation and local wind shifts—create the observed spread in trader sentiment across the 24–27 °C range, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final observed maximum from China Meteorological Administration stations. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Center is expected within the next 24 hours and could further tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 18 maggio?
25°C 22%
26°C 19%
27°C 13%
24°C 13%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
13%
25°C
22%
26°C
19%
27°C
13%
28°C or higher
11%
25°C 22%
26°C 19%
27°C 13%
24°C 13%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
13%
25°C
22%
26°C
19%
27°C
13%
28°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHCurrent short-range forecast models project a daytime high in the mid-20s Celsius for Wuhan on May 18, shaped by expected thunderstorm activity and cloud cover that will limit peak solar heating. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology across the Jianghan Plain, where daily maxima typically fall between 24 °C and 28 °C as the East Asian summer monsoon begins its northward advance and regional humidity rises above 80 percent. Slight differences in model runs—primarily the exact timing of precipitation and local wind shifts—create the observed spread in trader sentiment across the 24–27 °C range, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final observed maximum from China Meteorological Administration stations. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Center is expected within the next 24 hours and could further tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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