Environment Canada's midday update forecasts a high of 20°C for Toronto on May 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, matching the leading 39.5% market-implied probability as Pearson Airport observations hit 19°C by noon amid light WNW winds and low humidity favoring diurnal heating. This reflects a sharp rebound from recent cool highs near 15-16°C on May 13-14 during passing fronts, with stabilizing high pressure and southwest flow advection now dominant per GEM and GFS ensemble means that trended 1-2°C warmer over the past 48 hours against mid-May climatological norms of 19°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 20-21°C (combined 66%) due to model consensus, though partial cloudiness introduces uncertainty that could cap peaks below 22°C; official resolution hinges on Pearson's daily maximum temperature amid ongoing hourly monitoring.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 15 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Toronto il 15 maggio?
20°C 38%
21°C 34%
22°C o superiore 16.7%
19°C 7%
$41,751 Vol.
$41,751 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
7%
20°C
38%
21°C
34%
22°C o superiore
17%
20°C 38%
21°C 34%
22°C o superiore 16.7%
19°C 7%
$41,751 Vol.
$41,751 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
7%
20°C
38%
21°C
34%
22°C o superiore
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's midday update forecasts a high of 20°C for Toronto on May 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, matching the leading 39.5% market-implied probability as Pearson Airport observations hit 19°C by noon amid light WNW winds and low humidity favoring diurnal heating. This reflects a sharp rebound from recent cool highs near 15-16°C on May 13-14 during passing fronts, with stabilizing high pressure and southwest flow advection now dominant per GEM and GFS ensemble means that trended 1-2°C warmer over the past 48 hours against mid-May climatological norms of 19°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 20-21°C (combined 66%) due to model consensus, though partial cloudiness introduces uncertainty that could cap peaks below 22°C; official resolution hinges on Pearson's daily maximum temperature amid ongoing hourly monitoring.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti