Met Office forecasts and real-time observations at London City Airport—the market's resolution site—have locked in a maximum temperature of 14°C for May 15, driving the 96.5% trader consensus, as persistent cloud cover and northwest winds gusting to 17mph have capped daytime heating around mid-afternoon. Updated hourly data shows peaks of 14°C between 4pm and 6pm under overcast skies, aligning with UKV model runs and surface measurements amid a fresh northerly airflow. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected prolonged sunshine before sunset could nudge toward 15°C, though low solar angles and increasing cloudiness make this improbable; final evening observations will confirm.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in London on May 15?
Highest temperature in London on May 15?
14°C 97.0%
15°C 2.5%
18°C or higher <1%
16°C <1%
$224,942 Vol.
$224,942 Vol.
15 mag 2026
13°C
<1%
14°C
97%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 97.0%
15°C 2.5%
18°C or higher <1%
16°C <1%
$224,942 Vol.
$224,942 Vol.
15 mag 2026
13°C
$25,179 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$20,283 Vol.
97%
15°C
$34,076 Vol.
2%
16°C
$23,042 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$11,547 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$21,066 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office forecasts and real-time observations at London City Airport—the market's resolution site—have locked in a maximum temperature of 14°C for May 15, driving the 96.5% trader consensus, as persistent cloud cover and northwest winds gusting to 17mph have capped daytime heating around mid-afternoon. Updated hourly data shows peaks of 14°C between 4pm and 6pm under overcast skies, aligning with UKV model runs and surface measurements amid a fresh northerly airflow. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected prolonged sunshine before sunset could nudge toward 15°C, though low solar angles and increasing cloudiness make this improbable; final evening observations will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$224,942Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office forecasts and real-time observations at London City Airport—the market's resolution site—have locked in a maximum temperature of 14°C for May 15, driving the 96.5% trader consensus, as persistent cloud cover and northwest winds gusting to 17mph have capped daytime heating around mid-afternoon. Updated hourly data shows peaks of 14°C between 4pm and 6pm under overcast skies, aligning with UKV model runs and surface measurements amid a fresh northerly airflow. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected prolonged sunshine before sunset could nudge toward 15°C, though low solar angles and increasing cloudiness make this improbable; final evening observations will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$224,942Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Met Office forecasts and real-time observations at London City Airport—the market's resolution site—have locked in a maximum temperature of 14°C for May 15, driving the 96.5% trader consensus, as persistent cloud cover and northwest winds gusting to 17mph have capped daytime heating around mid-afternoon. Updated hourly data shows peaks of 14°C between 4pm and 6pm under overcast skies, aligning with UKV model runs and surface measurements amid a fresh northerly airflow. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like unexpected prolonged sunshine before sunset could nudge toward 15°C, though low solar angles and increasing cloudiness make this improbable; final evening observations will confirm.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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