Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 14°C (34.5%) and 15°C (32.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on May 15 at Milano Malpensa Airport station, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 14.5–15.5°C amid a low-pressure system ushering cool Atlantic air, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. This setup limits diurnal heating, with 16°C (21.5%) viable if afternoon breaks emerge, while lower outcomes fade due to baseline model agreement. Uncertainty stems from ensemble spread on precipitation timing and boundary layer mixing; historical May highs average 22°C but yield to current synoptic patterns. Watch overnight model updates and May 14 observations for final positioning ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
14°C 36%
15°C 32%
16°C 19%
17°C 9%
NUOVO
$30,392 Vol.
NUOVO
$30,392 Vol.
15 mag 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
36%
15°C
32%
16°C
19%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 36%
15°C 32%
16°C 19%
17°C 9%
NUOVO
$30,392 Vol.
NUOVO
$30,392 Vol.
15 mag 2026
9°C or below
$780 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,784 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,886 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,381 Vol.
1%
13°C
$2,913 Vol.
5%
14°C
$2,857 Vol.
36%
15°C
$2,399 Vol.
32%
16°C
$2,166 Vol.
19%
17°C
$3,464 Vol.
9%
18°C
$4,073 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$4,702 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 14°C (34.5%) and 15°C (32.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on May 15 at Milano Malpensa Airport station, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 14.5–15.5°C amid a low-pressure system ushering cool Atlantic air, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. This setup limits diurnal heating, with 16°C (21.5%) viable if afternoon breaks emerge, while lower outcomes fade due to baseline model agreement. Uncertainty stems from ensemble spread on precipitation timing and boundary layer mixing; historical May highs average 22°C but yield to current synoptic patterns. Watch overnight model updates and May 14 observations for final positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$30,392Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 14°C (34.5%) and 15°C (32.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on May 15 at Milano Malpensa Airport station, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 14.5–15.5°C amid a low-pressure system ushering cool Atlantic air, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. This setup limits diurnal heating, with 16°C (21.5%) viable if afternoon breaks emerge, while lower outcomes fade due to baseline model agreement. Uncertainty stems from ensemble spread on precipitation timing and boundary layer mixing; historical May highs average 22°C but yield to current synoptic patterns. Watch overnight model updates and May 14 observations for final positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,392Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 14°C (34.5%) and 15°C (32.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on May 15 at Milano Malpensa Airport station, reflecting ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hovering near 14.5–15.5°C amid a low-pressure system ushering cool Atlantic air, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. This setup limits diurnal heating, with 16°C (21.5%) viable if afternoon breaks emerge, while lower outcomes fade due to baseline model agreement. Uncertainty stems from ensemble spread on precipitation timing and boundary layer mixing; historical May highs average 22°C but yield to current synoptic patterns. Watch overnight model updates and May 14 observations for final positioning ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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