Official observations from Vnukovo International Airport, the resolution source for this market, recorded Moscow's highest temperature at 23°C during early afternoon on May 14, aligning with consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks of 21–24°C amid a high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds. Current METAR reports show temperatures declining into the evening with increasing cloud cover and reduced solar insolation, capping the diurnal heating cycle well above the 18°C mid-May climatological average. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this robust evidence, though a rare late-afternoon clearing could theoretically push toward 24°C; final Roshydromet summaries expected within 24 hours will confirm.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
23°C 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$58,704 Vol.
$58,704 Vol.
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$58,704 Vol.
$58,704 Vol.
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
Official observations from Vnukovo International Airport, the resolution source for this market, recorded Moscow's highest temperature at 23°C during early afternoon on May 14, aligning with consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks of 21–24°C amid a high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds. Current METAR reports show temperatures declining into the evening with increasing cloud cover and reduced solar insolation, capping the diurnal heating cycle well above the 18°C mid-May climatological average. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this robust evidence, though a rare late-afternoon clearing could theoretically push toward 24°C; final Roshydromet summaries expected within 24 hours will confirm.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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