Official hourly observations from the KNMI-operated weather station at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 13°C reached midday on May 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and a cool air mass over northwest Europe. Evening readings have since dropped to around 6°C with no solar heating left after sunset near 21:30 local time, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and HIRLAM model runs from the past 48 hours accurately forecasted these subdued highs below 14°C, aligning with climatological May variability but cooler than the 16°C monthly average. Only an unlikely post-day data revision by KNMI—such as a corrected sensor reading—could challenge this positioning, with final daily maxima expected imminently.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$54,619 Vol.
$54,619 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$54,619 Vol.
$54,619 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official hourly observations from the KNMI-operated weather station at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 13°C reached midday on May 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and a cool air mass over northwest Europe. Evening readings have since dropped to around 6°C with no solar heating left after sunset near 21:30 local time, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and HIRLAM model runs from the past 48 hours accurately forecasted these subdued highs below 14°C, aligning with climatological May variability but cooler than the 16°C monthly average. Only an unlikely post-day data revision by KNMI—such as a corrected sensor reading—could challenge this positioning, with final daily maxima expected imminently.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti