Current NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center outlooks show predominantly quiet-to-active geomagnetic conditions for May 17-23, driven by high-speed solar wind streams from coronal holes and low-level C-class flaring, with only modest probabilities of G3 geomagnetic storms, S3 radiation storms, or R3 radio blackouts. This keeps trader sentiment balanced between zero and three qualifying events, reflecting the narrow window for reaching NOAA scale thresholds amid ongoing Solar Cycle 25 maximum. Recent G1-G2 disturbances from May 13-16 transients have not escalated further, and model consensus points to limited intensification potential without new active-region emergence or favorable CME alignments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHow many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)
1 37%
3 37%
0 35%
2 24%
0
35%
1
37%
2
24%
3
37%
4
22%
5
2%
6+
2%
1 37%
3 37%
0 35%
2 24%
0
35%
1
37%
2
24%
3
37%
4
22%
5
2%
6+
2%
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center outlooks show predominantly quiet-to-active geomagnetic conditions for May 17-23, driven by high-speed solar wind streams from coronal holes and low-level C-class flaring, with only modest probabilities of G3 geomagnetic storms, S3 radiation storms, or R3 radio blackouts. This keeps trader sentiment balanced between zero and three qualifying events, reflecting the narrow window for reaching NOAA scale thresholds amid ongoing Solar Cycle 25 maximum. Recent G1-G2 disturbances from May 13-16 transients have not escalated further, and model consensus points to limited intensification potential without new active-region emergence or favorable CME alignments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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