Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 11°C (82.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on May 15, driven by the latest KNMI forecast update indicating changeable conditions with showers, moderate northwesterly winds, and maximums around 11-12°C amid persistent low pressure. ECMWF and Met Office model ensembles reinforce this, showing limited solar heating due to extensive cloud cover and precipitation, a shift from warmer early-May trends influenced by a recent cool air advection front over Northwest Europe. Historical May averages near 16°C provide context for the below-normal outlook, though inherent forecast uncertainty from variable showers could nudge outcomes toward 12°C (21.5%); real-time Schiphol observations will resolve the market by day's end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
11°C 83%
12°C 19%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$35,206 Vol.
$35,206 Vol.
15 mag 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
11°C
83%
12°C
19%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 83%
12°C 19%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$35,206 Vol.
$35,206 Vol.
15 mag 2026
7°C or below
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$3,496 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$4,160 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$3,822 Vol.
83%
12°C
$4,325 Vol.
19%
13°C
$2,849 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,762 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,361 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,607 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$2,195 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 11°C (82.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on May 15, driven by the latest KNMI forecast update indicating changeable conditions with showers, moderate northwesterly winds, and maximums around 11-12°C amid persistent low pressure. ECMWF and Met Office model ensembles reinforce this, showing limited solar heating due to extensive cloud cover and precipitation, a shift from warmer early-May trends influenced by a recent cool air advection front over Northwest Europe. Historical May averages near 16°C provide context for the below-normal outlook, though inherent forecast uncertainty from variable showers could nudge outcomes toward 12°C (21.5%); real-time Schiphol observations will resolve the market by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Volume
$35,206Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 11°C (82.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on May 15, driven by the latest KNMI forecast update indicating changeable conditions with showers, moderate northwesterly winds, and maximums around 11-12°C amid persistent low pressure. ECMWF and Met Office model ensembles reinforce this, showing limited solar heating due to extensive cloud cover and precipitation, a shift from warmer early-May trends influenced by a recent cool air advection front over Northwest Europe. Historical May averages near 16°C provide context for the below-normal outlook, though inherent forecast uncertainty from variable showers could nudge outcomes toward 12°C (21.5%); real-time Schiphol observations will resolve the market by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,206Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 11°C (82.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on May 15, driven by the latest KNMI forecast update indicating changeable conditions with showers, moderate northwesterly winds, and maximums around 11-12°C amid persistent low pressure. ECMWF and Met Office model ensembles reinforce this, showing limited solar heating due to extensive cloud cover and precipitation, a shift from warmer early-May trends influenced by a recent cool air advection front over Northwest Europe. Historical May averages near 16°C provide context for the below-normal outlook, though inherent forecast uncertainty from variable showers could nudge outcomes toward 12°C (21.5%); real-time Schiphol observations will resolve the market by day's end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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