Recent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 11–12°C in London on May 19, driven by a persistent southwesterly Atlantic airstream that maintains cloud cover and limits radiative cooling. This pattern suppresses sharp temperature drops that would otherwise occur under clear, calm conditions, while moderate winds further moderate minimum readings. Climatological baselines for mid-May hover between 7–9°C, yet the current warmer-than-average spring setup across northwest Europe has shifted probabilities toward the higher end of the distribution. Fresh forecast updates expected over the next 48 hours will refine wind and cloud timing, potentially sharpening the exact minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 19 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 19 maggio?
11°C 28%
12°C 27%
10°C 17%
13°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 mag 2026
5°C o inferiore
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
4%
9°C
18%
10°C
22%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
9%
14°C
5%
15°C o superiore
5%
11°C 28%
12°C 27%
10°C 17%
13°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 mag 2026
5°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
1%
6°C
$102 Vol.
1%
7°C
$62 Vol.
3%
8°C
$25 Vol.
4%
9°C
$70 Vol.
18%
10°C
$14 Vol.
22%
11°C
$4 Vol.
27%
12°C
$5 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
9%
14°C
$12 Vol.
5%
15°C o superiore
$18 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 11–12°C in London on May 19, driven by a persistent southwesterly Atlantic airstream that maintains cloud cover and limits radiative cooling. This pattern suppresses sharp temperature drops that would otherwise occur under clear, calm conditions, while moderate winds further moderate minimum readings. Climatological baselines for mid-May hover between 7–9°C, yet the current warmer-than-average spring setup across northwest Europe has shifted probabilities toward the higher end of the distribution. Fresh forecast updates expected over the next 48 hours will refine wind and cloud timing, potentially sharpening the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$322Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 11–12°C in London on May 19, driven by a persistent southwesterly Atlantic airstream that maintains cloud cover and limits radiative cooling. This pattern suppresses sharp temperature drops that would otherwise occur under clear, calm conditions, while moderate winds further moderate minimum readings. Climatological baselines for mid-May hover between 7–9°C, yet the current warmer-than-average spring setup across northwest Europe has shifted probabilities toward the higher end of the distribution. Fresh forecast updates expected over the next 48 hours will refine wind and cloud timing, potentially sharpening the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$322Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 11–12°C in London on May 19, driven by a persistent southwesterly Atlantic airstream that maintains cloud cover and limits radiative cooling. This pattern suppresses sharp temperature drops that would otherwise occur under clear, calm conditions, while moderate winds further moderate minimum readings. Climatological baselines for mid-May hover between 7–9°C, yet the current warmer-than-average spring setup across northwest Europe has shifted probabilities toward the higher end of the distribution. Fresh forecast updates expected over the next 48 hours will refine wind and cloud timing, potentially sharpening the exact minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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