Short-range forecast models position London's minimum temperature on May 18 between 7°C and 10°C, with ensemble consensus centering near 8°C as the leading outcome. An incoming Atlantic low-pressure system is expected to sustain widespread cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and promoting boundary-layer mixing that moderates overnight lows. Model spread stems from variable precipitation timing and exact cloud thickness, keeping implied probabilities for 7°C, 8°C, and 9°C closely matched. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs later today may narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 18 maggio?
9°C 28%
8°C 23%
7°C 20%
10°C 15%
2°C o inferiore
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
20%
8°C
28%
9°C
26%
10°C
15%
11°C
5%
12°C o superiore
3%
9°C 28%
8°C 23%
7°C 20%
10°C 15%
2°C o inferiore
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
20%
8°C
28%
9°C
26%
10°C
15%
11°C
5%
12°C o superiore
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCShort-range forecast models position London's minimum temperature on May 18 between 7°C and 10°C, with ensemble consensus centering near 8°C as the leading outcome. An incoming Atlantic low-pressure system is expected to sustain widespread cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and promoting boundary-layer mixing that moderates overnight lows. Model spread stems from variable precipitation timing and exact cloud thickness, keeping implied probabilities for 7°C, 8°C, and 9°C closely matched. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs later today may narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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