Official forecasts from the UK Met Office project a minimum temperature of 9°C overnight into May 17 in London, driven by clear skies and light northerly winds that promote radiational cooling after daytime maxima near 17°C. Ensemble models from ECMWF and UKMO show close agreement on this range, with minor spreads arising from uncertainties in low-level cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could allow the low to settle between 8°C and 11°C. Historical May climatology for the city centers around 8–10°C minima, providing context for why traders have concentrated implied probabilities on the 9–11°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 8°C or above 12°C. Updated model runs and any late adjustments in wind forecasts over the next 24 hours will determine final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 17 maggio?
11°C 32%
10°C 25%
9°C 22%
8°C 10.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
2°C o inferiore
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
10%
9°C
22%
10°C
25%
11°C
30%
12°C o superiore
5%
11°C 32%
10°C 25%
9°C 22%
8°C 10.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
2°C o inferiore
$170 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$337 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$95 Vol.
1%
5°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$288 Vol.
1%
7°C
$309 Vol.
1%
8°C
$216 Vol.
10%
9°C
$53 Vol.
22%
10°C
$83 Vol.
25%
11°C
$108 Vol.
30%
12°C o superiore
$377 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office project a minimum temperature of 9°C overnight into May 17 in London, driven by clear skies and light northerly winds that promote radiational cooling after daytime maxima near 17°C. Ensemble models from ECMWF and UKMO show close agreement on this range, with minor spreads arising from uncertainties in low-level cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could allow the low to settle between 8°C and 11°C. Historical May climatology for the city centers around 8–10°C minima, providing context for why traders have concentrated implied probabilities on the 9–11°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 8°C or above 12°C. Updated model runs and any late adjustments in wind forecasts over the next 24 hours will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,329Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office project a minimum temperature of 9°C overnight into May 17 in London, driven by clear skies and light northerly winds that promote radiational cooling after daytime maxima near 17°C. Ensemble models from ECMWF and UKMO show close agreement on this range, with minor spreads arising from uncertainties in low-level cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could allow the low to settle between 8°C and 11°C. Historical May climatology for the city centers around 8–10°C minima, providing context for why traders have concentrated implied probabilities on the 9–11°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 8°C or above 12°C. Updated model runs and any late adjustments in wind forecasts over the next 24 hours will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,329Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCOfficial forecasts from the UK Met Office project a minimum temperature of 9°C overnight into May 17 in London, driven by clear skies and light northerly winds that promote radiational cooling after daytime maxima near 17°C. Ensemble models from ECMWF and UKMO show close agreement on this range, with minor spreads arising from uncertainties in low-level cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could allow the low to settle between 8°C and 11°C. Historical May climatology for the city centers around 8–10°C minima, providing context for why traders have concentrated implied probabilities on the 9–11°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 8°C or above 12°C. Updated model runs and any late adjustments in wind forecasts over the next 24 hours will determine final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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