Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's daily maximum on May 18 will likely settle near 26–27 °C under moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian monsoon transition. Subtropical spring conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 20 °C in the East China Sea and limited upper-level ridging, constrain stronger warming while suppressing the risk of cooler northerly intrusions. Historical mid-May climatology for the city centers on 25 °C highs, so traders are weighting current guidance against small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and diurnal heating rates. Updated runs from the ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will clarify whether modest clearing pushes the peak toward 28 °C or persistent stratus caps it at 26 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 18 maggio?
27°C 32%
26°C 27%
28°C 21%
25°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
27%
27°C
32%
28°C
21%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
26°C 27%
28°C 21%
25°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
21°C or below
$854 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$219 Vol.
1%
23°C
$636 Vol.
1%
24°C
$603 Vol.
3%
25°C
$778 Vol.
9%
26°C
$389 Vol.
27%
27°C
$158 Vol.
32%
28°C
$180 Vol.
21%
29°C
$120 Vol.
7%
30°C
$53 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$294 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's daily maximum on May 18 will likely settle near 26–27 °C under moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian monsoon transition. Subtropical spring conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 20 °C in the East China Sea and limited upper-level ridging, constrain stronger warming while suppressing the risk of cooler northerly intrusions. Historical mid-May climatology for the city centers on 25 °C highs, so traders are weighting current guidance against small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and diurnal heating rates. Updated runs from the ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will clarify whether modest clearing pushes the peak toward 28 °C or persistent stratus caps it at 26 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,281Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's daily maximum on May 18 will likely settle near 26–27 °C under moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian monsoon transition. Subtropical spring conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 20 °C in the East China Sea and limited upper-level ridging, constrain stronger warming while suppressing the risk of cooler northerly intrusions. Historical mid-May climatology for the city centers on 25 °C highs, so traders are weighting current guidance against small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and diurnal heating rates. Updated runs from the ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will clarify whether modest clearing pushes the peak toward 28 °C or persistent stratus caps it at 26 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,281Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's daily maximum on May 18 will likely settle near 26–27 °C under moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian monsoon transition. Subtropical spring conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 20 °C in the East China Sea and limited upper-level ridging, constrain stronger warming while suppressing the risk of cooler northerly intrusions. Historical mid-May climatology for the city centers on 25 °C highs, so traders are weighting current guidance against small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and diurnal heating rates. Updated runs from the ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will clarify whether modest clearing pushes the peak toward 28 °C or persistent stratus caps it at 26 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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