Current ensemble forecasts from global models position Chengdu’s May 18 maximum in the narrow 28–32 °C window, reflecting the city’s location in the Sichuan Basin where southerly flow and increasing solar insolation drive late-spring warming. Subtropical high pressure supports gradual daytime heating while scattered afternoon convection introduces 1–2 °C day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities tightly bunched across the 29–33 °C brackets. Historical May averages near 29 °C provide a climatological baseline, yet short-term model spread and potential urban heat-island amplification leave room for modest upside or downside shifts before final observational resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 18 maggio?
30°C 16%
32°C 16%
31°C 16%
33°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
9%
29°C
14%
30°C
16%
31°C
16%
32°C
16%
33°C
15%
34°C
7%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
30°C 16%
32°C 16%
31°C 16%
33°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 mag 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
11%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$44 Vol.
16%
31°C
$0 Vol.
16%
32°C
$0 Vol.
16%
33°C
$44 Vol.
15%
34°C
$71 Vol.
7%
35°C
$64 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$546 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from global models position Chengdu’s May 18 maximum in the narrow 28–32 °C window, reflecting the city’s location in the Sichuan Basin where southerly flow and increasing solar insolation drive late-spring warming. Subtropical high pressure supports gradual daytime heating while scattered afternoon convection introduces 1–2 °C day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities tightly bunched across the 29–33 °C brackets. Historical May averages near 29 °C provide a climatological baseline, yet short-term model spread and potential urban heat-island amplification leave room for modest upside or downside shifts before final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$768Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from global models position Chengdu’s May 18 maximum in the narrow 28–32 °C window, reflecting the city’s location in the Sichuan Basin where southerly flow and increasing solar insolation drive late-spring warming. Subtropical high pressure supports gradual daytime heating while scattered afternoon convection introduces 1–2 °C day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities tightly bunched across the 29–33 °C brackets. Historical May averages near 29 °C provide a climatological baseline, yet short-term model spread and potential urban heat-island amplification leave room for modest upside or downside shifts before final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$768Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUCurrent ensemble forecasts from global models position Chengdu’s May 18 maximum in the narrow 28–32 °C window, reflecting the city’s location in the Sichuan Basin where southerly flow and increasing solar insolation drive late-spring warming. Subtropical high pressure supports gradual daytime heating while scattered afternoon convection introduces 1–2 °C day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities tightly bunched across the 29–33 °C brackets. Historical May averages near 29 °C provide a climatological baseline, yet short-term model spread and potential urban heat-island amplification leave room for modest upside or downside shifts before final observational resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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