Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chengdu's May 17 high temperature in the 28-31°C range, mirroring the closely matched trader sentiment with 20-21% implied probabilities for 29-31°C. This positioning stems from a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin fostering clear skies and above-normal daytime heating, building on recent actual highs of 28-31°C earlier this week amid low wind and moderate humidity. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud development and stray showers (up to 55% chance), which could cap peaks at 27-28°C via reduced solar insolation, versus sunnier scenarios pushing toward 30-31°C influenced by urban heat island effects. New forecast runs expected overnight may sharpen consensus before resolution via official station data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 17 maggio?
29°C 22%
28°C 22%
30°C 17%
31°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
12%
28°C
22%
29°C
22%
30°C
17%
31°C
13%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
29°C 22%
28°C 22%
30°C 17%
31°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
23°C or below
$220 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$340 Vol.
1%
25°C
$53 Vol.
5%
26°C
$290 Vol.
5%
27°C
$294 Vol.
12%
28°C
$98 Vol.
22%
29°C
$187 Vol.
22%
30°C
$169 Vol.
17%
31°C
$204 Vol.
13%
32°C
$288 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$467 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chengdu's May 17 high temperature in the 28-31°C range, mirroring the closely matched trader sentiment with 20-21% implied probabilities for 29-31°C. This positioning stems from a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin fostering clear skies and above-normal daytime heating, building on recent actual highs of 28-31°C earlier this week amid low wind and moderate humidity. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud development and stray showers (up to 55% chance), which could cap peaks at 27-28°C via reduced solar insolation, versus sunnier scenarios pushing toward 30-31°C influenced by urban heat island effects. New forecast runs expected overnight may sharpen consensus before resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,610Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chengdu's May 17 high temperature in the 28-31°C range, mirroring the closely matched trader sentiment with 20-21% implied probabilities for 29-31°C. This positioning stems from a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin fostering clear skies and above-normal daytime heating, building on recent actual highs of 28-31°C earlier this week amid low wind and moderate humidity. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud development and stray showers (up to 55% chance), which could cap peaks at 27-28°C via reduced solar insolation, versus sunnier scenarios pushing toward 30-31°C influenced by urban heat island effects. New forecast runs expected overnight may sharpen consensus before resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,610Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chengdu's May 17 high temperature in the 28-31°C range, mirroring the closely matched trader sentiment with 20-21% implied probabilities for 29-31°C. This positioning stems from a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin fostering clear skies and above-normal daytime heating, building on recent actual highs of 28-31°C earlier this week amid low wind and moderate humidity. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon cloud development and stray showers (up to 55% chance), which could cap peaks at 27-28°C via reduced solar insolation, versus sunnier scenarios pushing toward 30-31°C influenced by urban heat island effects. New forecast runs expected overnight may sharpen consensus before resolution via official station data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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