Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 22°C as Qingdao's highest temperature on May 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, which recorded a midday peak of 22°C under partly sunny conditions before sea breezes initiated cooling. Hourly readings from the National Meteorological Center confirm temperatures holding steady around 18-19°C by late afternoon, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting no further intensification amid moderate southerly winds and coastal fog. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 20-22°C; a late-day surge to 23°C+ would require improbable clear skies and subsidence, unlikely per current satellite imagery and soundings. Final CMA daily report expected post-midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$24,815 Vol.
$24,815 Vol.
15 mag 2026
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$24,815 Vol.
$24,815 Vol.
15 mag 2026
22°C
$5,332 Vol.
100%
23°C
$2,358 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,828 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,929 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,072 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,087 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,001 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,010 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$828 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 22°C as Qingdao's highest temperature on May 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, which recorded a midday peak of 22°C under partly sunny conditions before sea breezes initiated cooling. Hourly readings from the National Meteorological Center confirm temperatures holding steady around 18-19°C by late afternoon, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting no further intensification amid moderate southerly winds and coastal fog. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 20-22°C; a late-day surge to 23°C+ would require improbable clear skies and subsidence, unlikely per current satellite imagery and soundings. Final CMA daily report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Volume
$24,815Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 22°C as Qingdao's highest temperature on May 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, which recorded a midday peak of 22°C under partly sunny conditions before sea breezes initiated cooling. Hourly readings from the National Meteorological Center confirm temperatures holding steady around 18-19°C by late afternoon, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting no further intensification amid moderate southerly winds and coastal fog. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 20-22°C; a late-day surge to 23°C+ would require improbable clear skies and subsidence, unlikely per current satellite imagery and soundings. Final CMA daily report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,815Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 22°C as Qingdao's highest temperature on May 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations, including Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, which recorded a midday peak of 22°C under partly sunny conditions before sea breezes initiated cooling. Hourly readings from the National Meteorological Center confirm temperatures holding steady around 18-19°C by late afternoon, aligning with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS predicting no further intensification amid moderate southerly winds and coastal fog. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 20-22°C; a late-day surge to 23°C+ would require improbable clear skies and subsidence, unlikely per current satellite imagery and soundings. Final CMA daily report expected post-midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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