Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 22°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as the trading day nears resolution. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs hover around 20-21°C amid typical spring conditions of moderate southerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating after overnight lows near 12°C. Forecast models from NOAA and ECMWF had projected peaks in the 21-23°C range, with no significant warm air advection. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control checks or unverified station anomalies, though such events occur in under 1% of daily reports historically. Final MGM validation expected within 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 13?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$71,946 Vol.
$71,946 Vol.
13 mag 2026
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$71,946 Vol.
$71,946 Vol.
13 mag 2026
22°C
$14,786 Vol.
100%
23°C
$11,867 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$10,212 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$10,116 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 22°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as the trading day nears resolution. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs hover around 20-21°C amid typical spring conditions of moderate southerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating after overnight lows near 12°C. Forecast models from NOAA and ECMWF had projected peaks in the 21-23°C range, with no significant warm air advection. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control checks or unverified station anomalies, though such events occur in under 1% of daily reports historically. Final MGM validation expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Volume
$71,946Data di fine
13 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 22°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as the trading day nears resolution. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs hover around 20-21°C amid typical spring conditions of moderate southerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating after overnight lows near 12°C. Forecast models from NOAA and ECMWF had projected peaks in the 21-23°C range, with no significant warm air advection. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control checks or unverified station anomalies, though such events occur in under 1% of daily reports historically. Final MGM validation expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$71,946Data di fine
13 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 22°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as the trading day nears resolution. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs hover around 20-21°C amid typical spring conditions of moderate southerly winds and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating after overnight lows near 12°C. Forecast models from NOAA and ECMWF had projected peaks in the 21-23°C range, with no significant warm air advection. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control checks or unverified station anomalies, though such events occur in under 1% of daily reports historically. Final MGM validation expected within 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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