National Weather Service forecasts for May 15 at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution station—project a daytime high near 66-68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds of 10-20 mph, driving the 76% trader consensus for 66°F or higher as the leading outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where historical averages hover around 67°F, bolstered by NOAA Global Forecast System model consensus indicating potential early burn-off of persistent Pacific marine layer and coastal stratus that typically induce evaporative cooling to cap peaks in the 58-65°F range (now at 23.5% and lower). No significant developments in the past week, such as unusual onshore flow strengthening, have shifted guidance, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; monitor NWS updates this afternoon for refinements ahead of observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
66°F or higher 75%
64-65°F 25%
62-63°F 2.7%
60-61°F <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 mag 2026
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
25%
66°F or higher
75%
66°F or higher 75%
64-65°F 25%
62-63°F 2.7%
60-61°F <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 mag 2026
47°F or below
$982 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$619 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$553 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$866 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,914 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,452 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$529 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$533 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$829 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$752 Vol.
25%
66°F or higher
$725 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for May 15 at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution station—project a daytime high near 66-68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds of 10-20 mph, driving the 76% trader consensus for 66°F or higher as the leading outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where historical averages hover around 67°F, bolstered by NOAA Global Forecast System model consensus indicating potential early burn-off of persistent Pacific marine layer and coastal stratus that typically induce evaporative cooling to cap peaks in the 58-65°F range (now at 23.5% and lower). No significant developments in the past week, such as unusual onshore flow strengthening, have shifted guidance, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; monitor NWS updates this afternoon for refinements ahead of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,745Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for May 15 at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution station—project a daytime high near 66-68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds of 10-20 mph, driving the 76% trader consensus for 66°F or higher as the leading outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where historical averages hover around 67°F, bolstered by NOAA Global Forecast System model consensus indicating potential early burn-off of persistent Pacific marine layer and coastal stratus that typically induce evaporative cooling to cap peaks in the 58-65°F range (now at 23.5% and lower). No significant developments in the past week, such as unusual onshore flow strengthening, have shifted guidance, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; monitor NWS updates this afternoon for refinements ahead of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,745Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for May 15 at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution station—project a daytime high near 66-68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds of 10-20 mph, driving the 76% trader consensus for 66°F or higher as the leading outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where historical averages hover around 67°F, bolstered by NOAA Global Forecast System model consensus indicating potential early burn-off of persistent Pacific marine layer and coastal stratus that typically induce evaporative cooling to cap peaks in the 58-65°F range (now at 23.5% and lower). No significant developments in the past week, such as unusual onshore flow strengthening, have shifted guidance, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists; monitor NWS updates this afternoon for refinements ahead of observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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