Official Météo-France observations confirm Paris's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 14°C at standardized stations like Paris-Montsouris, driven by persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and cool northerly airflow that limited daytime insolation and convective heating. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF model consensus forecasting subdued highs amid a broader cool air mass over Western Europe, well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this authoritative data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to virtual certainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision from an overlooked urban heat island reading or station discrepancy, though final bulletins rarely shift post-verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Paris on May 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 13?
14°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$132,951 Vol.
$132,951 Vol.
13 mag 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$132,951 Vol.
$132,951 Vol.
13 mag 2026
11°C or below
$8,732 Vol.
No
12°C
$9,102 Vol.
No
13°C
$9,944 Vol.
No
14°C
$37,112 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$19,793 Vol.
No
16°C
$20,485 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,852 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,920 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,261 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,123 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$4,627 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations confirm Paris's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 14°C at standardized stations like Paris-Montsouris, driven by persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and cool northerly airflow that limited daytime insolation and convective heating. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF model consensus forecasting subdued highs amid a broader cool air mass over Western Europe, well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this authoritative data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to virtual certainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision from an overlooked urban heat island reading or station discrepancy, though final bulletins rarely shift post-verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$132,951Data di fine
13 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations confirm Paris's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 14°C at standardized stations like Paris-Montsouris, driven by persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and cool northerly airflow that limited daytime insolation and convective heating. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF model consensus forecasting subdued highs amid a broader cool air mass over Western Europe, well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this authoritative data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to virtual certainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision from an overlooked urban heat island reading or station discrepancy, though final bulletins rarely shift post-verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$132,951Data di fine
13 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official Météo-France observations confirm Paris's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 14°C at standardized stations like Paris-Montsouris, driven by persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and cool northerly airflow that limited daytime insolation and convective heating. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF model consensus forecasting subdued highs amid a broader cool air mass over Western Europe, well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this authoritative data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to virtual certainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision from an overlooked urban heat island reading or station discrepancy, though final bulletins rarely shift post-verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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