Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation. This synoptic pattern favors peak readings in the upper 20s to low 30s, keeping the 29 °C and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes nearly even in trader pricing while 28 °C remains close behind. Ensemble model consensus shows modest spread in boundary-layer heating and wind speeds, creating the tight probability clustering; any late-day cloud increase or slight steering shift could cap the high at 28 °C, whereas sustained clear skies would push it to 30 °C or above. The next JMA update and afternoon satellite trends will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 17 maggio?
29°C 35%
30°C or higher 31%
28°C 28%
27°C 8%
NUOVO
$20,879 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,879 Vol.
17 mag 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
28%
29°C
35%
30°C or higher
31%
29°C 35%
30°C or higher 31%
28°C 28%
27°C 8%
NUOVO
$20,879 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,879 Vol.
17 mag 2026
20°C or below
$2,294 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$772 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$819 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,885 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,552 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,846 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,563 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,594 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,491 Vol.
28%
29°C
$1,078 Vol.
35%
30°C or higher
$2,005 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation. This synoptic pattern favors peak readings in the upper 20s to low 30s, keeping the 29 °C and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes nearly even in trader pricing while 28 °C remains close behind. Ensemble model consensus shows modest spread in boundary-layer heating and wind speeds, creating the tight probability clustering; any late-day cloud increase or slight steering shift could cap the high at 28 °C, whereas sustained clear skies would push it to 30 °C or above. The next JMA update and afternoon satellite trends will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$20,879Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation. This synoptic pattern favors peak readings in the upper 20s to low 30s, keeping the 29 °C and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes nearly even in trader pricing while 28 °C remains close behind. Ensemble model consensus shows modest spread in boundary-layer heating and wind speeds, creating the tight probability clustering; any late-day cloud increase or slight steering shift could cap the high at 28 °C, whereas sustained clear skies would push it to 30 °C or above. The next JMA update and afternoon satellite trends will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,879Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a high-pressure ridge fostering southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation. This synoptic pattern favors peak readings in the upper 20s to low 30s, keeping the 29 °C and 30 °C-or-higher outcomes nearly even in trader pricing while 28 °C remains close behind. Ensemble model consensus shows modest spread in boundary-layer heating and wind speeds, creating the tight probability clustering; any late-day cloud increase or slight steering shift could cap the high at 28 °C, whereas sustained clear skies would push it to 30 °C or above. The next JMA update and afternoon satellite trends will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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