Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to modest daytime highs near 24–25 °C on May 17, keeping those two outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers have limited solar heating across the territory, while a moist southerly flow from the South China Sea adds humidity that suppresses further warming. Historical May data show typical maximums around 28–29 °C, yet recent model runs favor a cooler trajectory consistent with a weak trough lingering offshore. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Observatory’s headquarters; any late-day clearing could nudge readings toward 26 °C, but current conditions make that less probable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 maggio?
24°C 52.9%
25°C 32%
26°C 9%
27°C 4%
NUOVO
$56,464 Vol.
NUOVO
$56,464 Vol.
17 mag 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
53%
25°C
32%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 52.9%
25°C 32%
26°C 9%
27°C 4%
NUOVO
$56,464 Vol.
NUOVO
$56,464 Vol.
17 mag 2026
19°C or below
$2,541 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,774 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,998 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,393 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,421 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$12,200 Vol.
53%
25°C
$6,568 Vol.
32%
26°C
$5,068 Vol.
9%
27°C
$6,090 Vol.
4%
28°C
$5,229 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$7,441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to modest daytime highs near 24–25 °C on May 17, keeping those two outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers have limited solar heating across the territory, while a moist southerly flow from the South China Sea adds humidity that suppresses further warming. Historical May data show typical maximums around 28–29 °C, yet recent model runs favor a cooler trajectory consistent with a weak trough lingering offshore. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Observatory’s headquarters; any late-day clearing could nudge readings toward 26 °C, but current conditions make that less probable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$56,464Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to modest daytime highs near 24–25 °C on May 17, keeping those two outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers have limited solar heating across the territory, while a moist southerly flow from the South China Sea adds humidity that suppresses further warming. Historical May data show typical maximums around 28–29 °C, yet recent model runs favor a cooler trajectory consistent with a weak trough lingering offshore. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Observatory’s headquarters; any late-day clearing could nudge readings toward 26 °C, but current conditions make that less probable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$56,464Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to modest daytime highs near 24–25 °C on May 17, keeping those two outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers have limited solar heating across the territory, while a moist southerly flow from the South China Sea adds humidity that suppresses further warming. Historical May data show typical maximums around 28–29 °C, yet recent model runs favor a cooler trajectory consistent with a weak trough lingering offshore. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Observatory’s headquarters; any late-day clearing could nudge readings toward 26 °C, but current conditions make that less probable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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