Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature today at 58-59°F and 32% for 60-61°F, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 61°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the likely resolution site. Morning observations show overcast skies and temperatures in the low 50s°F under south-southwest winds, with rain tapering after 1pm before partial clearing, limiting diurnal heating from persistent marine stratus over Puget Sound. This cooler pattern follows yesterday's record-tying 82°F high, driven by an upper-level low suppressing temperatures below May's climatological average of 64°F. Model consensus supports mid-60s potential if skies clear fully, but traders hedge for cloudier outcomes; hourly KSEA updates this afternoon will refine the peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 13?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 13?
58-59°F 48.6%
56-57°F 31.1%
60-61°F 15%
54-55°F 2.6%
$97,543 Vol.
$97,543 Vol.
13 mag 2026
54-55°F
3%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 48.6%
56-57°F 31.1%
60-61°F 15%
54-55°F 2.6%
$97,543 Vol.
$97,543 Vol.
13 mag 2026
54-55°F
$12,153 Vol.
3%
56-57°F
$6,348 Vol.
31%
58-59°F
$3,933 Vol.
49%
60-61°F
$5,134 Vol.
15%
62-63°F
$5,843 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$5,160 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$7,755 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5,288 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,645 Vol.
<1%
72°F or higher
$31,874 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature today at 58-59°F and 32% for 60-61°F, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 61°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the likely resolution site. Morning observations show overcast skies and temperatures in the low 50s°F under south-southwest winds, with rain tapering after 1pm before partial clearing, limiting diurnal heating from persistent marine stratus over Puget Sound. This cooler pattern follows yesterday's record-tying 82°F high, driven by an upper-level low suppressing temperatures below May's climatological average of 64°F. Model consensus supports mid-60s potential if skies clear fully, but traders hedge for cloudier outcomes; hourly KSEA updates this afternoon will refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$97,543Data di fine
13 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature today at 58-59°F and 32% for 60-61°F, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 61°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the likely resolution site. Morning observations show overcast skies and temperatures in the low 50s°F under south-southwest winds, with rain tapering after 1pm before partial clearing, limiting diurnal heating from persistent marine stratus over Puget Sound. This cooler pattern follows yesterday's record-tying 82°F high, driven by an upper-level low suppressing temperatures below May's climatological average of 64°F. Model consensus supports mid-60s potential if skies clear fully, but traders hedge for cloudier outcomes; hourly KSEA updates this afternoon will refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$97,543Data di fine
13 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature today at 58-59°F and 32% for 60-61°F, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 61°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the likely resolution site. Morning observations show overcast skies and temperatures in the low 50s°F under south-southwest winds, with rain tapering after 1pm before partial clearing, limiting diurnal heating from persistent marine stratus over Puget Sound. This cooler pattern follows yesterday's record-tying 82°F high, driven by an upper-level low suppressing temperatures below May's climatological average of 64°F. Model consensus supports mid-60s potential if skies clear fully, but traders hedge for cloudier outcomes; hourly KSEA updates this afternoon will refine the peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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