Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 13, 2026, reached 31.1°C at its King's Park reference station, with regional stations like Sheung Shui peaking at 34.7°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. This positioning reflects real-time meteorological data from automated stations, updated in the 23:00 HKT regional bulletin capturing past-24-hour maxima amid mainly fine weather under an aloft anticyclone, fostering daytime heating with minimal cloud cover. Afternoon hourly readings showed rapid climbs past 30°C at multiple sites, aligning with above-normal May seasonal forecasts. Only an unprecedented data revision by HKO—extremely rare for verified observations—could challenge this near-resolution, as peak heating has passed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$344,470 Vol.
$344,470 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
100%
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$344,470 Vol.
$344,470 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 13, 2026, reached 31.1°C at its King's Park reference station, with regional stations like Sheung Shui peaking at 34.7°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. This positioning reflects real-time meteorological data from automated stations, updated in the 23:00 HKT regional bulletin capturing past-24-hour maxima amid mainly fine weather under an aloft anticyclone, fostering daytime heating with minimal cloud cover. Afternoon hourly readings showed rapid climbs past 30°C at multiple sites, aligning with above-normal May seasonal forecasts. Only an unprecedented data revision by HKO—extremely rare for verified observations—could challenge this near-resolution, as peak heating has passed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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