The overwhelming trader consensus for a 23°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on May 16 reflects the latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory, which project stable overnight conditions under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge with minimal northerly wind influence or cloud cover to drive further cooling. Current observational data and ensemble model runs show no significant departures from mid-May climatological baselines, where average lows cluster near this threshold. Resolution hinges on verified hourly readings through the evening, with any unexpected shift in sea surface temperatures or localized radiative cooling representing the only realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome before final confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 16 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 16 maggio?
23°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
$37,771 Vol.
$37,771 Vol.
16 mag 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
$37,771 Vol.
$37,771 Vol.
16 mag 2026
18°C o inferiore
$2,220 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$676 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,786 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,608 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,673 Vol.
100%
24°C
$6,962 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,376 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,219 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
28°C o superiore
$2,619 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus for a 23°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on May 16 reflects the latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory, which project stable overnight conditions under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge with minimal northerly wind influence or cloud cover to drive further cooling. Current observational data and ensemble model runs show no significant departures from mid-May climatological baselines, where average lows cluster near this threshold. Resolution hinges on verified hourly readings through the evening, with any unexpected shift in sea surface temperatures or localized radiative cooling representing the only realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome before final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$37,771Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus for a 23°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on May 16 reflects the latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory, which project stable overnight conditions under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge with minimal northerly wind influence or cloud cover to drive further cooling. Current observational data and ensemble model runs show no significant departures from mid-May climatological baselines, where average lows cluster near this threshold. Resolution hinges on verified hourly readings through the evening, with any unexpected shift in sea surface temperatures or localized radiative cooling representing the only realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome before final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,771Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe overwhelming trader consensus for a 23°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on May 16 reflects the latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory, which project stable overnight conditions under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge with minimal northerly wind influence or cloud cover to drive further cooling. Current observational data and ensemble model runs show no significant departures from mid-May climatological baselines, where average lows cluster near this threshold. Resolution hinges on verified hourly readings through the evening, with any unexpected shift in sea surface temperatures or localized radiative cooling representing the only realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome before final confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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