Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 19°C (45.5% implied probability) as Cape Town International Airport's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 20°C (26.5%), reflecting the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest forecast of a maximum around 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from recent clearing after days of heavy rainfall and disruptive cold frontal passages across the Western Cape, which suppressed earlier May highs—such as implied 17°C on May 13—to below seasonal norms. Autumnal cooling trends, with historical mid-May averages near 19°C, combined with moderating Atlantic high-pressure influence, support this cluster, though lingering cloudiness introduces uncertainty; real-time airport observations will refine probabilities as the afternoon peak approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
19°C 45%
20°C 36%
18°C 15.1%
21°C 9%
NUOVO
$16,418 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,418 Vol.
15 mag 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
15%
19°C
45%
20°C
35%
21°C
9%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 45%
20°C 36%
18°C 15.1%
21°C 9%
NUOVO
$16,418 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,418 Vol.
15 mag 2026
14°C or below
$1,911 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$964 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$810 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,533 Vol.
2%
18°C
$2,325 Vol.
15%
19°C
$1,843 Vol.
45%
20°C
$1,099 Vol.
35%
21°C
$1,841 Vol.
9%
22°C
$1,786 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,463 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$854 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 19°C (45.5% implied probability) as Cape Town International Airport's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 20°C (26.5%), reflecting the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest forecast of a maximum around 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from recent clearing after days of heavy rainfall and disruptive cold frontal passages across the Western Cape, which suppressed earlier May highs—such as implied 17°C on May 13—to below seasonal norms. Autumnal cooling trends, with historical mid-May averages near 19°C, combined with moderating Atlantic high-pressure influence, support this cluster, though lingering cloudiness introduces uncertainty; real-time airport observations will refine probabilities as the afternoon peak approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volume
$16,418Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 19°C (45.5% implied probability) as Cape Town International Airport's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 20°C (26.5%), reflecting the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest forecast of a maximum around 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from recent clearing after days of heavy rainfall and disruptive cold frontal passages across the Western Cape, which suppressed earlier May highs—such as implied 17°C on May 13—to below seasonal norms. Autumnal cooling trends, with historical mid-May averages near 19°C, combined with moderating Atlantic high-pressure influence, support this cluster, though lingering cloudiness introduces uncertainty; real-time airport observations will refine probabilities as the afternoon peak approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,418Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 19°C (45.5% implied probability) as Cape Town International Airport's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 20°C (26.5%), reflecting the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest forecast of a maximum around 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from recent clearing after days of heavy rainfall and disruptive cold frontal passages across the Western Cape, which suppressed earlier May highs—such as implied 17°C on May 13—to below seasonal norms. Autumnal cooling trends, with historical mid-May averages near 19°C, combined with moderating Atlantic high-pressure influence, support this cluster, though lingering cloudiness introduces uncertainty; real-time airport observations will refine probabilities as the afternoon peak approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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