Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate partly cloudy skies and isolated showers across the Western Cape for May 17, supporting trader consensus around a 20–21°C high in Cape Town. This positioning reflects the typical autumn transition, when Atlantic maritime air moderates daytime maxima while variable southeasterly winds and cloud cover can suppress or enhance warming by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 19°C provide context, yet current model runs show slightly above-normal conditions due to reduced cold-air advection. Resolution hinges on the official maximum reading, with traders monitoring afternoon wind shifts and any late-day clearing that could nudge temperatures toward the upper end of the 19–22°C range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Città del Capo il 17 maggio?
20°C 37%
21°C 32%
19°C 16%
22°C 10%
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
21%
20°C
37%
21°C
32%
22°C
10%
23°C
3%
24°C o superiore
1%
20°C 37%
21°C 32%
19°C 16%
22°C 10%
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
21%
20°C
37%
21°C
32%
22°C
10%
23°C
3%
24°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTRecent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate partly cloudy skies and isolated showers across the Western Cape for May 17, supporting trader consensus around a 20–21°C high in Cape Town. This positioning reflects the typical autumn transition, when Atlantic maritime air moderates daytime maxima while variable southeasterly winds and cloud cover can suppress or enhance warming by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 19°C provide context, yet current model runs show slightly above-normal conditions due to reduced cold-air advection. Resolution hinges on the official maximum reading, with traders monitoring afternoon wind shifts and any late-day clearing that could nudge temperatures toward the upper end of the 19–22°C range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti