Current numerical weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS consensus place Milan's May 18 maximum near 20–21 °C, reflecting a weakening upper-level trough and modest warm-air advection across the Po Valley under partly cloudy skies. Trader positioning clusters tightly around these outcomes because small differences in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while climatological norms for mid-May average 19–22 °C. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours will refine cloud-cover and wind-speed forecasts, directly influencing resolution thresholds tied to official Linate Airport observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 18 maggio?
21°C 33%
20°C 27%
19°C 18%
22°C 11%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
7%
19°C
18%
20°C
27%
21°C
33%
22°C
11%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 33%
20°C 27%
19°C 18%
22°C 11%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
7%
19°C
18%
20°C
27%
21°C
33%
22°C
11%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCCurrent numerical weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS consensus place Milan's May 18 maximum near 20–21 °C, reflecting a weakening upper-level trough and modest warm-air advection across the Po Valley under partly cloudy skies. Trader positioning clusters tightly around these outcomes because small differences in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while climatological norms for mid-May average 19–22 °C. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours will refine cloud-cover and wind-speed forecasts, directly influencing resolution thresholds tied to official Linate Airport observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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