Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs point to a maximum temperature of 14–16 °C in Amsterdam on May 19 under the influence of a weak Atlantic trough that will advect cooler maritime air across the North Sea. Partly cloudy skies and scattered light showers are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak below the seasonal mid-May average of roughly 16 °C. Model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C, with the next high-resolution updates likely to narrow the range before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Amsterdam il 19 maggio?
15°C 36%
14°C 20%
16°C 16%
13°C 11%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
11%
14°C
17%
15°C
36%
16°C
16%
17°C
10%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 36%
14°C 20%
16°C 16%
13°C 11%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
11%
14°C
17%
15°C
36%
16°C
16%
17°C
10%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMRecent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs point to a maximum temperature of 14–16 °C in Amsterdam on May 19 under the influence of a weak Atlantic trough that will advect cooler maritime air across the North Sea. Partly cloudy skies and scattered light showers are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak below the seasonal mid-May average of roughly 16 °C. Model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C, with the next high-resolution updates likely to narrow the range before the 48-hour forecast window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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