Traders are pricing in a robust May 2026 posting pace for Elon Musk on X, with the 840-879 and 880-919 ranges tied at 11.2% implied probability and the 800-839 bucket close behind at 11.0%. This tight cluster reflects Musk’s established pattern of high-volume engagement driven by real-time commentary on Tesla deliveries, SpaceX launches, xAI model releases, and political developments. Recent platform metrics show no slowdown in daily activity, while historical May volumes have consistently landed in the upper 700s to low 900s. Upcoming catalysts include potential product announcements or earnings-related threads that could push totals higher or lower depending on breaking news flow, leaving the market sensitive to any sudden shifts in Musk’s schedule or global headlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato840-879 11.3%
880-919 11.2%
800-839 10.7%
920-959 9.4%
$2,986,776 Vol.
$2,986,776 Vol.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
3%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
11%
880-919
11%
920-959
9%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840-879 11.3%
880-919 11.2%
800-839 10.7%
920-959 9.4%
$2,986,776 Vol.
$2,986,776 Vol.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
3%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
11%
880-919
11%
920-959
9%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing in a robust May 2026 posting pace for Elon Musk on X, with the 840-879 and 880-919 ranges tied at 11.2% implied probability and the 800-839 bucket close behind at 11.0%. This tight cluster reflects Musk’s established pattern of high-volume engagement driven by real-time commentary on Tesla deliveries, SpaceX launches, xAI model releases, and political developments. Recent platform metrics show no slowdown in daily activity, while historical May volumes have consistently landed in the upper 700s to low 900s. Upcoming catalysts include potential product announcements or earnings-related threads that could push totals higher or lower depending on breaking news flow, leaving the market sensitive to any sudden shifts in Musk’s schedule or global headlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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