Finland edges as the trader consensus frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 third place at 16% implied probability, buoyed by dominant overall win odds from bookmakers and strong first-rehearsal staging for Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which topped OGAE fan polls ahead of Denmark and Australia. Australia (13%) and Greece (13%) trail closely, propelled by Delta Goodrem's vocal powerhouse "Eclipse" and Akylas's "Ferto" televote buzz from pre-parties, while Denmark (11.5%) and Israel (10%) gain from semi-final qualifications and jury-friendly entries. With the Vienna grand final set for May 16, competitive dynamics hinge on running order advantages, jury-televote splits—Nordics often jury-strong, diaspora boosts for Greece/Israel—and potential rehearsal surprises, keeping the podium race fluid amid 37 qualified acts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEurovision 3rd Place 2026
Eurovision 3rd Place 2026
Finland 16%
Greece 13%
Australia 13%
Denmark 12%
$19,535 Vol.
$19,535 Vol.

Finland
16%

Greece
13%

Australia
13%

Denmark
12%

Israel
10%

France
8%

Bulgaria
7%

Ukraine
5%

Romania
5%

Moldova
2%

Sweden
2%

Italy
2%

Serbia
2%

Czechia
2%

Latvia
1%

Croatia
1%

Austria
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Norway
<1%

Albania
<1%

Germany
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Belgium
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Malta
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Poland
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Switzerland
<1%
Finland 16%
Greece 13%
Australia 13%
Denmark 12%
$19,535 Vol.
$19,535 Vol.

Finland
16%

Greece
13%

Australia
13%

Denmark
12%

Israel
10%

France
8%

Bulgaria
7%

Ukraine
5%

Romania
5%

Moldova
2%

Sweden
2%

Italy
2%

Serbia
2%

Czechia
2%

Latvia
1%

Croatia
1%

Austria
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Norway
<1%

Albania
<1%

Germany
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Belgium
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Malta
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Poland
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Switzerland
<1%
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland edges as the trader consensus frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 third place at 16% implied probability, buoyed by dominant overall win odds from bookmakers and strong first-rehearsal staging for Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which topped OGAE fan polls ahead of Denmark and Australia. Australia (13%) and Greece (13%) trail closely, propelled by Delta Goodrem's vocal powerhouse "Eclipse" and Akylas's "Ferto" televote buzz from pre-parties, while Denmark (11.5%) and Israel (10%) gain from semi-final qualifications and jury-friendly entries. With the Vienna grand final set for May 16, competitive dynamics hinge on running order advantages, jury-televote splits—Nordics often jury-strong, diaspora boosts for Greece/Israel—and potential rehearsal surprises, keeping the podium race fluid amid 37 qualified acts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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