Argentina's commanding 75.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group J stems from their status as defending champions, topping CONMEBOL qualifiers with dominant form, and the recent inclusion of Lionel Messi in their 55-player preliminary squad announced this week, signaling his likely participation despite age-related questions. Austria holds 17% as the primary challenger, bolstered by a strong UEFA qualifying campaign—finishing top of their group—and recent friendly victories over South Korea (1-0) and Ghana (5-1) in late March, reflecting solid defensive organization and attacking depth per their #24 FIFA ranking. Algeria's 6.3% reflects impressive Africa Cup qualifiers and shutout friendlies against Uruguay alongside a 7-0 rout of Guatemala, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.2% despite their historic AFC qualification, hampered by #66 ranking and limited experience against elite opposition.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore del Gruppo J della Coppa del Mondo FIFA
Vincitore del Gruppo J della Coppa del Mondo FIFA
Argentina 76%
Austria 17%
Algeria 6.3%
Jordan 1.1%
$86,310 Vol.
$86,310 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Argentina
76%
Austria
17%
Algeria
6%
Jordan
1%
Argentina 76%
Austria 17%
Algeria 6.3%
Jordan 1.1%
$86,310 Vol.
$86,310 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Argentina
$39,576 Vol.
76%
Austria
$21,929 Vol.
17%
Algeria
$13,601 Vol.
6%
Jordan
$11,205 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Argentina's commanding 75.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group J stems from their status as defending champions, topping CONMEBOL qualifiers with dominant form, and the recent inclusion of Lionel Messi in their 55-player preliminary squad announced this week, signaling his likely participation despite age-related questions. Austria holds 17% as the primary challenger, bolstered by a strong UEFA qualifying campaign—finishing top of their group—and recent friendly victories over South Korea (1-0) and Ghana (5-1) in late March, reflecting solid defensive organization and attacking depth per their #24 FIFA ranking. Algeria's 6.3% reflects impressive Africa Cup qualifiers and shutout friendlies against Uruguay alongside a 7-0 rout of Guatemala, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.2% despite their historic AFC qualification, hampered by #66 ranking and limited experience against elite opposition.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$86,310Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Argentina's commanding 75.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group J stems from their status as defending champions, topping CONMEBOL qualifiers with dominant form, and the recent inclusion of Lionel Messi in their 55-player preliminary squad announced this week, signaling his likely participation despite age-related questions. Austria holds 17% as the primary challenger, bolstered by a strong UEFA qualifying campaign—finishing top of their group—and recent friendly victories over South Korea (1-0) and Ghana (5-1) in late March, reflecting solid defensive organization and attacking depth per their #24 FIFA ranking. Algeria's 6.3% reflects impressive Africa Cup qualifiers and shutout friendlies against Uruguay alongside a 7-0 rout of Guatemala, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.2% despite their historic AFC qualification, hampered by #66 ranking and limited experience against elite opposition.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$86,310Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's commanding 75.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group J stems from their status as defending champions, topping CONMEBOL qualifiers with dominant form, and the recent inclusion of Lionel Messi in their 55-player preliminary squad announced this week, signaling his likely participation despite age-related questions. Austria holds 17% as the primary challenger, bolstered by a strong UEFA qualifying campaign—finishing top of their group—and recent friendly victories over South Korea (1-0) and Ghana (5-1) in late March, reflecting solid defensive organization and attacking depth per their #24 FIFA ranking. Algeria's 6.3% reflects impressive Africa Cup qualifiers and shutout friendlies against Uruguay alongside a 7-0 rout of Guatemala, while debutants Jordan lag at 1.2% despite their historic AFC qualification, hampered by #66 ranking and limited experience against elite opposition.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti