Recent leaderboard data shows xAI's Grok 4.6 at roughly 43% on Humanity’s Last Exam, trailing Anthropic's leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants that exceed 60% in September 2026 updates, with other frontier models like GPT-5.4 Pro in the mid-50s. The expert-authored benchmark of 2,500 graduate-level questions across math, physics, and other domains was designed for sustained headroom, and rapid 2026 gains by reasoning-focused systems highlight the gap xAI must close through new Grok iterations or tool-augmented evaluations. xAI's multi-agent approaches and frequent releases position it to narrow the deficit before December, though consistent outperformance on verified no-tools or official CAIS/Scale leaderboards remains the key swing factor for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl punteggio Grok più alto all'ultimo esame dell'umanità nel 2026?
Il punteggio Grok più alto all'ultimo esame dell'umanità nel 2026?
$113,164 Vol.
31 dic 2026
45%+
76%
50%+
56%
55%+
32%
60%+
22%
65%+
10%
$113,164 Vol.
45%+
$44,039 Vol.
76%
50%+
$20,627 Vol.
56%
55%+
$28,676 Vol.
32%
60%+
$17,519 Vol.
22%
65%+
$2,303 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Recent leaderboard data shows xAI's Grok 4.6 at roughly 43% on Humanity’s Last Exam, trailing Anthropic's leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants that exceed 60% in September 2026 updates, with other frontier models like GPT-5.4 Pro in the mid-50s. The expert-authored benchmark of 2,500 graduate-level questions across math, physics, and other domains was designed for sustained headroom, and rapid 2026 gains by reasoning-focused systems highlight the gap xAI must close through new Grok iterations or tool-augmented evaluations. xAI's multi-agent approaches and frequent releases position it to narrow the deficit before December, though consistent outperformance on verified no-tools or official CAIS/Scale leaderboards remains the key swing factor for market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercato aperto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Volume
$113,164Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://agi.safe.ai/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Recent leaderboard data shows xAI's Grok 4.6 at roughly 43% on Humanity’s Last Exam, trailing Anthropic's leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants that exceed 60% in September 2026 updates, with other frontier models like GPT-5.4 Pro in the mid-50s. The expert-authored benchmark of 2,500 graduate-level questions across math, physics, and other domains was designed for sustained headroom, and rapid 2026 gains by reasoning-focused systems highlight the gap xAI must close through new Grok iterations or tool-augmented evaluations. xAI's multi-agent approaches and frequent releases position it to narrow the deficit before December, though consistent outperformance on verified no-tools or official CAIS/Scale leaderboards remains the key swing factor for market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$113,164Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://agi.safe.ai/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent leaderboard data shows xAI's Grok 4.6 at roughly 43% on Humanity’s Last Exam, trailing Anthropic's leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants that exceed 60% in September 2026 updates, with other frontier models like GPT-5.4 Pro in the mid-50s. The expert-authored benchmark of 2,500 graduate-level questions across math, physics, and other domains was designed for sustained headroom, and rapid 2026 gains by reasoning-focused systems highlight the gap xAI must close through new Grok iterations or tool-augmented evaluations. xAI's multi-agent approaches and frequent releases position it to narrow the deficit before December, though consistent outperformance on verified no-tools or official CAIS/Scale leaderboards remains the key swing factor for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il punteggio più alto ottenuto all’Ultimo Esame dell’Umanità nel 2026 sarà pari o superiore al 60%?
52%
Sì
Il punteggio più alto raggiunto da un modello OpenAI nell'Ultimo Esame dell'Umanità nel 2026 sarà pari o superiore al 55%?
84%
Sì
Il punteggio più alto raggiunto da un modello Meta all’Humanity’s Last Exam nel 2026 sarà del 55% o superiore?
35%
Sì
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