Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 series has driven recent trader sentiment on the 2026 Humanity’s Last Exam markets, posting verified scores near 62% on September 2026 leaderboards from BenchLM and similar evaluators—within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models at 64-65%. This rapid climb from earlier Llama releases reflects Meta’s focus on high-reasoning configurations and competitive inference scaling, narrowing the gap on the 2,500-question expert-vetted benchmark. With roughly three months remaining until the December 31 resolution, further Muse Spark refinements or a new flagship release could lift Meta above 65%, though sustained Anthropic and OpenAI gains plus evaluation variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the 60%+ and 65%+ thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPunteggio Meta più alto all'ultimo esame dell'umanità nel 2026?
Punteggio Meta più alto all'ultimo esame dell'umanità nel 2026?
$58,569 Vol.
31 dic 2026
55%+
35%
60%+
28%
65%+
20%
70%+
7%
$58,569 Vol.
55%+
$36,531 Vol.
35%
60%+
$12,419 Vol.
28%
65%+
$7,755 Vol.
20%
70%+
$1,864 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 series has driven recent trader sentiment on the 2026 Humanity’s Last Exam markets, posting verified scores near 62% on September 2026 leaderboards from BenchLM and similar evaluators—within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models at 64-65%. This rapid climb from earlier Llama releases reflects Meta’s focus on high-reasoning configurations and competitive inference scaling, narrowing the gap on the 2,500-question expert-vetted benchmark. With roughly three months remaining until the December 31 resolution, further Muse Spark refinements or a new flagship release could lift Meta above 65%, though sustained Anthropic and OpenAI gains plus evaluation variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the 60%+ and 65%+ thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercato aperto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Volume
$58,569Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://agi.safe.ai/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 series has driven recent trader sentiment on the 2026 Humanity’s Last Exam markets, posting verified scores near 62% on September 2026 leaderboards from BenchLM and similar evaluators—within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models at 64-65%. This rapid climb from earlier Llama releases reflects Meta’s focus on high-reasoning configurations and competitive inference scaling, narrowing the gap on the 2,500-question expert-vetted benchmark. With roughly three months remaining until the December 31 resolution, further Muse Spark refinements or a new flagship release could lift Meta above 65%, though sustained Anthropic and OpenAI gains plus evaluation variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the 60%+ and 65%+ thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$58,569Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://agi.safe.ai/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 series has driven recent trader sentiment on the 2026 Humanity’s Last Exam markets, posting verified scores near 62% on September 2026 leaderboards from BenchLM and similar evaluators—within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 models at 64-65%. This rapid climb from earlier Llama releases reflects Meta’s focus on high-reasoning configurations and competitive inference scaling, narrowing the gap on the 2,500-question expert-vetted benchmark. With roughly three months remaining until the December 31 resolution, further Muse Spark refinements or a new flagship release could lift Meta above 65%, though sustained Anthropic and OpenAI gains plus evaluation variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the 60%+ and 65%+ thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il punteggio più alto ottenuto all’Ultimo Esame dell’Umanità nel 2026 sarà pari o superiore al 60%?
52%
Sì
Il punteggio più alto raggiunto da un modello OpenAI nell'Ultimo Esame dell'Umanità nel 2026 sarà pari o superiore al 55%?
76%
Sì
Il punteggio più alto ottenuto da un modello Anthropic Claude all’Humanity’s Last Exam nel 2026 sarà pari o superiore al 55%?
81%
Sì
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